The College Football Blog: 2010 Week 10 Betting Lines

Last Week’s Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight up: 8-2; Vs. Spread: 4-6)

Overall (Straight up: 38-15; Vs. Spread: 25-26-2; Moneyline Upsets: 2-0)

Season Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight up: 66-24; Vs. Spread: 41-44-5)

Overall (Straight up: 344-104; Vs. Spread: 222-218-8; Moneyline Upsets: 11-19)

Week 9 Review: Not all bad, especially considering how many big games there were. I avoided disaster.

Week 10 Preview: This is not a great week in college football, as there’s really only one huge game and just a few big ones. Maybe I can have a big week and get farther away from .500.

Saturday

Game 1: Illinois (+3.5) @ Michigan
Pick: Illinois pulls off the upset
Comment: Rich Rod may be done anyway, but if he doesn’t get this one he has to be done. Illinois is 6-2 ATS, while Michigan is just 3-5 ATS. Illinois is 1-1 on the road, while Michigan is 3-2 at home. Michigan had won 39 of 45 over the Illini, but Illinois has won the last 2. Michigan hasn’t lost 3 straight to Illinois since 1951-1953.

Game 2: TCU (-4.5) @ Utah
Pick: TCU covers
Comment: This is the biggest game of the week. These two have only played 7 times (Utah leads the series 5-2) and have only been playing every year since 2005 (Utah leads the series 3-2 since then). From 2005-2008, the 4 games between these two were decided by a total of 26 points. Last year TCU won by 27. TCU has never won at Utah.

Game 3: Hawaii (+21) @ Boise State
Pick: Boise State covers
Comment: Boise State will be playing this game off of 10 days rest. Boise State is 8-1 all-time vs. Hawaii and has never lost to them at home. The Broncos have outscored the Warriors 81-16 the last 2 years.

Game 4: Northwestern (+5.5) @ Penn State
Pick: Penn State covers
Comment: Since the 5-0 start, NW has lost at home to Purdue and Michigan State, and won at Indiana by 3 points. Since the 3-3 start, PSU has won back to back games by double digits. Northwestern won at Penn State in 2004.

Game 5: Nebraska (-18) @ Iowa State
Pick: Iowa State beats the spread
Comment: This spread seems high. Last year Iowa State won 9-7 at Nebraska, but the Cyclones haven’t won 2 straight over Nebraska since 1976-1977.

Game 6: Arkansas (+3) @ South Carolina
Pick: Arkansas beats the spread
Comment: This could be one of the better games of the weekend. Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Gamecocks have been shaky since the big win over Alabama. However, the Hogs have lost WR Greg Childs and RB Dennis Johnson, and they could be without WR Joe Adams this weekend as well.

Game 7: Oklahoma (-3) @ Texas A&M
Pick: Oklahoma covers
Comment: Strange spread. The Sooners have won 7 straight over A&M by an average score of 49-19.

Game 8: Arizona (+9.5) @ Stanford
Pick: Arizona beats the spread
Comment: This one has been a thriller lately. Stanford has actually won 5 of the last 7, but they blew a lead in last year’s game and wound up losing. Nick Foles should be back for Arizona at QB this week.

Game 9: Missouri (-4) @ Texas Tech
Pick: Missouri covers
Comment: Mizzu won the last meeting in 2007, 41-10. Tech has already lost twice at home this year. It will be interesting to see how the Tigers bounce back from last week’s loss at Nebraska.

Game 10: Alabama (-6.5) @ LSU
Pick: Alabama covers
Comment: This is obviously a big game and it would be a huge game if you thought LSU might win. But it just doesn’t seem likely. Both teams will be coming off of bye weeks. Bama has won the last 2. A win in this game would be huge for Les Miles.

Other Games

Tuesday

Middle Tennessee State (-1.5) @ Arkansas State (Arkansas State pulls off the upset)

Wednesday

Rutgers (+10.5) @ South Florida (Rutgers beats the spread)

Thursday

Buffalo (+16) @ Ohio (Ohio covers)

Georgia Tech (+12) @ Virginia Tech (VT covers)

Friday

Western Michigan (+3.5) @ Central Michigan (WM beats the spread)

Central Florida (-2) @ Houston (CF covers)

Saturday

Iowa (-17) @ Indiana (Iowa covers)

Minnesota (+24) @ Michigan State (MSU covers)

Louisville (+5) @ Syracuse (Cuse covers)

NC State (+3) @ Clemson (NC State pulls off the upset)

Virginia (-1.5) @ Duke (UVA covers)

Maryland (+8) @ Miami (Maryland beats the spread)

Wisconsin (-20) @ Purdue (Wisconsin covers)

Air Force (-7) @ Army (Army beats the spread)

Florida (-14) @ Vanderbilt (Florida covers)

Baylor (+7.5) @ Oklahoma State (Baylor beats the spread)

Akron (+13.5) @ Ball State (BSU covers)

Colorado (-8.5) @ Kansas (Kansas beats the spread)

Temple (-3) @ Kent State (Temple covers)

Rice (+18) @ Tulsa (Tulsa covers)

UNLV (+18.5) @ BYU (BYU covers)

New Mexico State (+18) @ Utah State (NMS beats the spread)

Southern Miss (-9.5) @ Tulane (Southern Miss covers)

Washington (+28.5) @ Oregon (Oregon covers)

Navy (+3) @ East Carolina (ECU covers)

Boston College (-3) @ Wake Forest (BC covers)

North Carolina (+10) @ Florida State (FSU covers)

California (-14.5) @ Washington State (Washington State beats the spread)

Fresno State (-1.5) @ Louisiana Tech (Fresno State covers)

Marshall (+10) @ UAB (UAB covers)

Florida Atlantic (-2.5) @ Western Kentucky (FAU covers)

Nevada (-11.5) @ Idaho (Nevada covers)

Wyoming (-10) @ New Mexico (New Mexico beats the spread)

Louisiana-Lafayette (+27) @ Mississippi (Mississippi covers)

Oregon State (-5) @ UCLA (Oregon State covers)

Troy (-12.5) @ North Texas (Troy covers)

Louisiana-Monroe (+9.5) @ Florida International (ULM beats the spread)

Texas (-3.5) @ Kansas State (KSU beats the spread)

Tennessee (-19.5) @ Memphis (Tennessee covers)

SMU (-6.5) @ UTEP (SMU covers)

Colorado State (+17.5) @ San Diego State (SD State covers)

Arizona State (+5.5) @ USC (USC covers)