Wednesday, October 26, 2011

The College Football Blog: 2011 Week 9 Betting Lines

Last Week’s Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 6-4; Vs. Spread: 6-4)

Overall (Straight Up: 32-18; Vs. Spread: 21-28-1; Moneyline Upsets: 1-3)

Season Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 48-32; Vs. Spread: 33-46-1)

Overall (Straight Up: 281-104; Vs. Spread: 185-188-5; Moneyline Upsets: 12-16)

Week 8 Review: Just awful. The only positive about last week was doing decent in the biggest 10 games. Everything else was terrible, including just a 32-18 record straight up. Now I’m back under .500 ATS overall, still hopelessly behind ATS in the biggest 10 games, and I’ve lost the momentum in moneyline upsets.

Week 9 Preview: This week we’ve got college or pro football every day of the week. That’s as it should be. Unfortunately, it does make it harder for me to do these picks because I have to get it out so early in the week. Last week’s slate looked super weak, but it ended up being a great weekend because Wisconsin-Michigan State turned into a classic and Texas Tech-Oklahoma became a late night stunner. This week’s schedule is loaded with solid matchups.


Saturday


Game 1: Michigan State (+4) @ Nebraska

Pick: Nebraska covers

Comments: This one kind of snuck up on me. It wasn’t one of the Big Ten games that I circled in August. This has turned out to be a really big matchup. The Spartans are 6-1 (5-2 ATS) have a ton of momentum coming off of their dramatic upset of Wisconsin last week. They have won 4 straight (4-0 ATS) and they are 1-1 on the road this season (1-1 ATS). Nebraska’s hopes took a major hit a few weeks ago when they were blown out by Wisconsin, but they’ve won 2 straight and they are 6-1 on the season (just 2-5 ATS).

The Cornhuskers are 4-0 at home but 0-4 ATS at home. Nebraska is always hard to beat at home and they are 18-3 in their last 21 in Lincoln. It seems unlikely that a 1-loss team would make the national championship game but not nearly as unlikely as it did going into last week. With that in mind, this is still a game with national implications, as both teams would have strong resumes if they were to win out.

This game has major Big Ten implications. Michigan State is currently alone in 1st place in the Big Ten Leg (that’s what I’ll be calling their division rather than “Legends”), with Nebraska, Michigan, and Iowa all tied for 2nd at 2-1. Michigan State has already defeated Michigan head to head and a win over Nebraska would put them in a great position to make the first ever Big Ten Championship Game.

MSU will get a boost with the return of suspended linebacker William Gholston this week. You’d have to think he’s itching to contribute after missing last week’s big win over Wisconsin. Hopefully he’ll also try hard not to bring anymore negative attention on himself and the program. Nebraska will be without stud DT Jared Crick; a serious blow to their defense. Crick tore his pectoral muscle against Washington back in September. He attempted to play through the injury against Wisconsin and Ohio State before the team decided to shut him down for the rest of the year.

These two teams have only met 5 times in their history, with Nebraska winning all 5 of the previous matchups. The Cornhuskers defeated MSU in 1914 and 1920. The next meeting wouldn’t come until 1995, when Nebraska went to Lansing and hammered the Spartans 50-10. The next year Michigan State went out to Lincoln and got beat 55-14. That was the last regular season meeting between these two. They met again in the 2003 Alamo Bowl, when Nebraska beat Sparty 17-3.


Game 2: Missouri (+11.5) @ Texas A&M

Pick: Missouri beats the spread

Comments: It seems strange to me that this could be an SEC game in a couple of years. This is a big game for both teams. The Aggies’ hopes for a truly special season ended with the loss to Arkansas but they still have a chance for a great year. They have won 3 straight (1-2 ATS) to get to 5-2 on the year (just 2-5 ATS). They are 3-1 at home (2-2 ATS). The Aggies are tied for 3rd in the Big XII at 3-1 and still alive for the conference title. Missouri has been competitive but they are just 3-4 overall (4-3 ATS). In fact, at 1-3 in the Big XII, Missouri is in 8th place in the conference.

The Tigers have been consistently good under Gary Pinkel but they are going to have to pull off a couple of upsets in order to extend their streak of 6 consecutive bowl games. After this one they have a road game against Baylor, home games against Texas and Texas Tech, and the Border War with Kansas. Assuming they beat Kansas, they’ll still need to split the 4 games against the Texas teams in order to finish bowl eligible at 6-6.

Missouri is 0-3 on the road (2-1 ATS) and that doesn’t bode well for their chances this weekend, as the Aggies are 14-4 at home since the start of the 2009 season. However, just last season Missouri went into College Station and kicked A&M’s ass, 30-9.

There isn’t a lot of history in this series. Texas A&M holds a 7-4 edge in the all-time series but Mizzu has had the advantage in recent year. These two first squared off in 1957. A&M won that game and beat Mizzu again the next year (1958), but they didn’t meet again until 1992. The teams met 4 times from 1992 to 1999, with A&M winning all 4 games to take a 6-0 lead in the all-time series. Missouri, however, has won 4 of the 5 games since then (2002-2010).


Game 3: Florida (+2.5) Vs. Georgia (Jacksonville)

Pick: Georgia covers

Comments: The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. That’s the politically incorrect name for this rivalry game. What’s interesting is that it might be the only rivalry game title that seems to be describing the crowd rather than the game. The game has always been the event around which many fans plan an annual fall holiday, spending the week or the weekend on vacation in the surrounding areas. That’s the main reason that it got the Cocktail party handle. However, it might also be because so much of the history has been one-sided.

The series began in 1915 and the Dawgs hold the all-time edge, 46-40-2. However, the fact that things are that close is proof of how dominant the Gators have been in this rivalry over the last 20-plus years. Georgia won the first 6 meetings. From 1931-1951 the Dawgs went 17-3 against the Gators, bringing their all-time record against Florida to 23-5-1. The Gators took control of the series from 1952-1970, going 13-5-1, and cutting Georgia’s all-time edge down to 28-18-2. However, things would then swing back in UGA’s favor, as the Dawgs won 15 of 19 from 1971 to 1989.

At that point the Dawgs held a commanding 43-22-2 edge in the all-time series. But then Steve Spurrier came back. Since 1990, the Gators have won 18 of 21. Florida has won 11 of the last 13, 5 of the last 6, and 3 straight. 78 of 88 meetings have been played in Jacksonville, including the last 15 and 75 of the last 77.

Ray Goff and Jim Donnan went a combined 1-11 against Florida. Mark Richt has done slightly better, going 2-8 so far, but I’m not sure he can survive a loss this season. One of the main reasons that Florida’s dominance has been so complete over the last 21 years, is that even in the years that Georgia has clearly been the better team they have still usually not beaten the Gators.

In the eyes of most people, this is a game that Georgia should win. The Dawgs are 5-2 overall (4-3 ATS), having won 5 straight (4-1 ATS) since an 0-2 start. They are 3-1 away from home this season (2-2 ATS), having won 3 true road games and lost their neutral site game against Boise State. The Gators are going the other direction. They are now 4-3 overall (3-3-1 ATS), having lost 3 straight (0-3 ATS). They are 1-2 away from home (1-2 ATS). However, as great (and necessary) as Georgia’s 5-game win streak has been, it really hasn’t been that impressive.

On the other hand, while Florida’s 3-game slide has been ugly, 2 of the losses came against arguably the best 2 teams in the country (LSU and Alabama). More importantly, Senior QB John Brantley has missed the last 2.5 games of the 3-game losing skid. With inexperienced freshmen QB’s the Gators have had no offense. That will likely change this week, as Brantley is expected to return from the ankle injury. RB Jeff Demps missed the Auburn game with an ankle injury but he is probable for this one.

Both teams scheduled bye weeks before their matchup. The Dawgs needed the extra week too. They hope to have WR Malcolm Mitchell back from a hamstring injury. If Mitchell is able to go, he almost certainly won’t be at 100%. LB Cornelius Washington should return from a 2-game suspension due to a DUI. Unfortunately, the Dawgs will be without NT Kwame Geathers and safety Shawn Williams for the first half, as they were suspended by the SEC due to things that happened in the Vandy game. It’s complete garbage and hopefully it will not have a major impact on the game.

Will Muschamp walked on at Georgia and was a key member of the defense from 1991-1994. Many guys end up coaching for a rival but Muschamp has crossed that line. Among Georgia’s rivals, Muschamp has coached for LSU, Auburn, Georgia Tech, and now Florida. I’d say that crosses the line into treachery.

This is a huge game for both teams. Neither can afford a loss if they want to end up having a better than decent season. The Dawgs are tied for 1st in the SEC East at 4-1, while the Gators are in 3rd at 2-3. Georgia needs to win the rest of their SEC games and hope that the Gamecocks lose another in the conference in order to win the East and play for the conference championship.

Many have said that Georgia has to win the East in order for Mark Richt to save his job. I don’t know if that’s true. I think the Dawgs have to beat Florida, New Mexico State, Kentucky, and Georgia Tech for sure. The only game he might be able to lose and still survive would be Auburn. Even if that loss kept the Dawgs out of the SEC championship game, if they won their bowl game and ended up 10-3 with wins over Tennessee, Florida, and Georgia Tech, I doubt he would be fired. On the other hand, I don’t think he can lose to GT or Florida or suffer an inexcusable defeat at the hands of Kentucky or NMS.


Game 4: Oklahoma (-13.5) @ Kansas State

Pick: Kansas State beats the spread

Comments: This spread convinces me of two things. One: Vegas still isn’t sold on KSU. Two: Vegas thinks Oklahoma’s stunning loss to Texas Tech last week was a total fluke. The Sooners seemingly had their NC dreams crushed last week with a shocking home loss to the Red Raiders. They are now 6-1 (4-3 ATS) and 3-0 on the road (2-1 ATS). They’ve lost 2 straight ATS. The Sooners are tied for 3rd in the Big XII at 3-1 and they are still alive for the conference title. They also still have a very small chance of sneaking into the NC game.

Kansas State has been the surprise team of the year. They are 7-0 (6-1 ATS) and 4-0 at home (3-1 ATS). The Wildcats have won 6 in a row ATS. Amazingly, KSU is tied for 1st in the Big XII at 4-0 and they are in the hunt for the national championship.

CB Jemell Fleming will miss this one for Oklahoma but RB Dominique Whaley should be back after missing last week due to an illness. The Sooners definitely have problems at placekicker so they could be vulnerable in a close game.

The most shocking part about last week’s loss to Texas Tech was that it came at home. Losing a random game is nothing new for the Sooners but it ordinarily comes on the road. They are just 6-5 on the road since the start of the 2009 season (4-7 ATS). On the other end, KSU has been very tough at home during Bill Snyder’s second tenure, going 13-3 in Manhattan since the start of the 2009 season.

This series goes back to 1908 and has been dominated by the Sooners (70-17-4 all-time vs. KSU). Early on this series was competitive, as the teams played to a 9-9-4 draw through 1996. But the Sooners would then take complete control, winning 32 consecutive meetings. After dropping 2 straight, Oklahoma won 22 more in a row over the Wildcats. That 54-2 run gave Oklahoma a 63-11-4 edge in the all-time series. Under Bill Snyder, KSU went on a 5-year run from 1993-1997, but the Sooners have won 7 of 8 since then. Oklahoma has won the last 4 in the series, each by double digits. KSU’s last win in the series was their shocking 35-7 upset of the Sooners in the 2003 Big XII championship game.


Game 5: Baylor (+13.5) @ Oklahoma State

Pick: Oklahoma State covers

Comments: If Oklahoma State finishes 12-0 they will have a good chance of making the BCS title game. They are more than halfway there at 7-0 (6-1 ATS). The Cowboys are 3-0 at home (2-1 ATS) and they’ve won 8 straight overall going back to last season (7-1 ATS). OSU has won their last 6 ATS and they are tied for 1st in the Big XII at 4-0.

Baylor has been competitive. The Bears are 4-2 overall (3-2 ATS) but 0-2 on the road (0-2 ATS). They are tied for 6th in the Big XII at 1-2. The Bears are coming off of a bye.

Ok State got a major scare last week when star wideout Justin Blackmon was knocked out of the game, but he is expected to play this week despite a possible concussion. However, the Cowboys wide receiver corps did take a significant hit, as Hubert Anyiam was lost for the season with a foot injury.

This series goes back to 1914, with Okie State holding a 17-12 edge all-time. The Cowboys won the first meeting 60-0 (1914), but the Bears won the next 9 matchups from 1915 to 1942. The next game between these two did not occur until 1972. Oklahoma State won that one to snap the skid, but Baylor won the next meeting in 1974. The teams wouldn’t faceoff again until the 1983 Blue Bonnet Bowl, which Oklahoma State won. The next meeting was not until 1994. Baylor won that game in Waco. At that point the Bears held an 11-3 edge in the series, but the tides turned after that. Oklahoma State won 9 straight from 1996-2004 and have won 14 of 15 meetings during the Big XII era (since 1996).

Baylor’s last win in the series came at home in 2005. The Sooners have won the last 5 meetings by an average score of 47-16. The Bears have lost 9 in a row in Stillwater by an average of 26 points per game, losing each game by at least 13 points. Their last win at Ok State was in 1939. The Cowboys have built 34-0 leads in each of the last 2 meetings.


Game 6: Illinois (+5) @ Penn State

Pick: Penn State covers

Comments: This game was never really that big but Illinois’ loss to Purdue last week sure didn’t help things. The Illini are 6-2 (3-5 ATS) and 1-1 on the road (1-1 ATS), but they’ve lost 2 in a row (0-2 ATS). They have lost 4 of 5 ATS. Penn State has won 6 in a row. They are 7-1 (just 2-6 ATS) overall and 4-1 at home (just 1-4 ATS). The Nittany Lions are in 1st in the Big Ten Lead (that’s what I’m calling their division instead of “Leaders”) with a 4-0 conference record. Illinois is in 4th in the division with a 2-1 conference record.

Penn State holds a 14-4 record in this series that goes back only to 1954, but Illinois has been a bit of a bugaboo recently. Illinois is a respectable 3-5 against PSU since 2001. Penn State has never lost back to back games to Illinois but they are just 2-2 in their last 4 against them. Last season Illinois won 33-13 in Happy Valley for their first ever win at Penn State (had been 0-6).


Game 7: Navy (+20.5) @ Notre Dame

Pick: Navy beats the spread

Comments: This may not be a big game to most people but it is to me. As every (any?) person who has followed this blog knows by now, I love to root against Notre Dame. To me, nothing has solidified Notre Dame’s place in irrelevancy more than their recent struggles against the Naval Academy, a team they used as a punching bag for half a century.

Unfortunately, Navy will have to play this game without the guy who has been their starting QB for most of the season (Kriss Proctor). Proctor is doubtful for this one with an elbow injury sustained last week and he’s not expected to play. Trey Miller stepped in for Proctor against ECU and played well, completing 5 of 12 passes for 126 yards and 2 TD’s, while also rushing 13 times for 36 yards.

Still, Proctor’s injury is a blow and it is just one more bad break for the Midshipmen in a very unlucky season. They are just 2-5 (4-3 ATS) and have lost 5 straight. During the 5 game slide they have lost by 3 at South Carolina; by 1 in overtime against rival Air Force; by 1 on the road against Rutgers; and by 3 points against ECU. They are 1-2 on the road so far (3-0 ATS) and they’ve lost 3 of their last 4 ATS.

The Irish are coming off of a home loss to rival USC, a performance which drew claims that the team had quit. They are 4-3 (3-4 ATS) overall and 2-2 at home (2-2 ATS). QB Tommy Rees was hurt during the USC game (knee) but he is probable for this one.

Although Navy was competitive on a national level for many years, Notre Dame has owned this series. They have a 71-12-1 edge all-time, in a series going back to 1927. The Irish won the first 6 meetings and they were 24-4-1 against Navy through 1955. The Midshipmen then won 5 of 8 to cut ND’s edge down to 27-9-1. But that run didn’t last. Instead, it gave way to Notre Dame’s 43-game win streak, lasting from 1964 to 2006. At the end of the streak they had a 70-9-1 record against Navy.

Since then, however, the Midshipmen have won 3 of 4, including the last 2. They’ve also won 2 straight at ND. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Notre Dame.

Notre Dame has a very manageable schedule the rest of the way. Assuming they lost at Stanford in the season finale, they should still end up with 8 victories for a 2nd year in row.

Navy’s situation is much gloomier. The Naval Academy has put together an impressive streak of 8 consecutive bowl appearances and 8 consecutive seasons with 8 or more wins. After this one, Navy has a home game against Troy, road games against SMU and San Jose State, and then the rivalry game with Army. If they lose this one, they’ll have to win their final 4 games in order to finish up bowl eligible at 6-6.


Game 8: Clemson (-4) @ Georgia Tech

Pick: Clemson covers

Comments: This has consistently been a thrilling matchup over the last couple of decades. A few weeks ago this looked like it could be a blockbuster matchup of undefeated teams. Unfortunately (or fortunately), Georgia Teach couldn’t hold up its end of the bargain.

After running over teams during a 6-0 start, the Yellow Jackets have lost 2 in a row. Clemson, on the other hand, just keeps on rolling. The Tigers are now 8-0 (7-1 ATS). They’ve won 6 straight ATS. Tech is 6-2 (4-3-1 ATS) but they’ve lost 2 in a row and they’re 0-3-1 in their last 4 ATS. They are, however, 4-0 at home this year (3-1 ATS). Clemson is 2-0 on the road so far (2-0 ATS).

These two teams first squared off back in 1898. Tech holds a more sizeable lead in the all-time series than you might expect: 49-25-2. Clemson actually won the first 4 meetings and was 6-1-1 against Tech through 1907. But then Tech reeled off 15 straight wins from 1908-1934 to take a 16-6-1 lead in the series. They went 32-3 against Clemson from 1908-1973 and at that point they led the all-time series 33-9-1. Since then, however, this rivalry has been much tighter, as the teams have gone 16-16-1 in the last 33 meetings (1974-2010).

Georgia Tech has gone 6-2 against the Tigers in the last 7 years (swept Clemson in 2009, winning the regular season matchup and the ACC championship game) but Clemson won last year (27-13) to snap a 4-game skid against Tech.

The Tigers have lost 3 in a row in Atlanta. Their last win at GT came in 2003. The Tigers are currently alone in 1st in the ACC Atlantic with a 5-0 conference record. They would appear to be a lock to play for the conference title. Tech is now 2nd in the ACC Coastal at 3-2.


Game 9: Stanford (-7.5) @ USC

Pick: Stanford covers

Comments: Stanford has been a machine so far this season. It doesn’t even feel like the Trojans are that much of a challenge, but last year USC nearly upset Stanford on the road, taking the lead very late, before Stanford got a last second FG to win 37-35.

USC has won 3 straight, including last week’s 14-point win at ND. They’ve won 2 in a row ATS. Troy is 6-1 overall (4-3 ATS) and 4-0 at home (2-2 ATS). However, Stanford is 7-0 (7-0 ATS) and 3-0 on the road (3-0 ATS) and they’ve won 15 straight going back to last season (12-2-1 ATS). They’ve won their last 6 road games. The Indians (as they should still be called) have won 10 straight ATS and they are 12-0-1 ATS in their last 13 games.

The Indians are in 1st place in the Pac-12 North at 5-0, with the Oregon showdown looming up ahead. USC is tied for 1st in the Pac-12 South at 3-1 but the Trojans cannot play in the Pac-12 championship game or go to a bowl.

As you might expect, USC holds a sizeable edge in this series all-time (58-27-3). Stanford won the first meeting in 1905 and the next game wasn’t until 1919. USC was 9-3-1 against the Indians through 1932. The series then swung towards Stanford for a while, and USC’s edge was down to 18-15-2 after 1957. But then the Trojans reeled off 12 straight wins from 1958-1969. They went 18-3-1 against Stanford from 1958-1979, bringing their all-time edge to 36-18-3. They won another 11 in a row from 1980-1990, making their all-time record 47-18-3 against Stanford.

The Indians (by now being called the Cardinal) hung tough over the next 11 years, forging out a 6-5 record against USC during that time and even winning 3 straight from 1999-2001. That didn’t put much of a dent in the all-time record which was then 52-24-3 in favor of USC. The Trojans then won 5 in a row from 2002-2006 to boost their record to a most dominant 52-24-3.

But out of the blue, Stanford has won 3 of the last 4 since then, including the last 2. They have won 2 straight at USC and they are 5-5 on the road against Troy since 1991.

USC was perhaps the top program in college football during Pete Carroll’s tenure and they were ridiculously hard to beat at home during that era. For some reason Stanford was not scared of the Coliseum. Carroll’s first year in LA was 2001. The Trojans went 1-1 in their first 2 at home that season and then fell to Stanford at home in week 4. USC would then win their next 35 home games, a streak that lasted well into the 2007 season. In the first week of October that year, Stanford came into town as 41-point underdogs and pulled off the greatest upset that I personally have ever seen. The win snapped USC’s 35-game home win streak and was the last home loss for USC since Stanford had beaten them in LA back in 2001.

Following the stunning loss to Stanford, USC would win their next 12 at home, until Stanford came into town in 2009 as 10.5-point dogs and blasted the Trojans 55-21, snapping another streak. It was the first home loss for USC since Stanford’s victory in LA in 2007. At that point, Pete Carroll’s Trojans were 2-3 at home against Stanford and 47-1 at home against everybody else. Could USC be in line for some revenge?


Game 10: Wisconsin (-7) @ Ohio State

Pick: Wisconsin covers

Comments: This looked like a huge matchup in August. It’s still a pretty decent game. The Badgers were Big Ten favorites until they stepped on a landmine in East Lansing last Saturday. They are 6-1 overall (5-1-1 ATS) and 0-1 on the road (0-1 ATS). They will still have a lot to say about the conference title. The Badgers are tied for 2nd in the Big Ten Lead with a 2-1 conference record.

Ohio State has gotten several players back and has improved offensively. They are 4-3 overall (4-3 ATS) and 3-1 at home (2-2 ATS). The Buckeyes are 5th in the Big Ten Lead with a 1-2 conference record. They are coming off of a bye, but prior to that they won on the road at Illinois. They have won 2 straight ATS.

WR Devier Posey is really the only suspended player they still don’t have back (other than Pryor of course). They are still without some key players however. CB Dominic Clarke didn’t play against Illinois and is questionable this week due to some legal issues that result in suspension. DE Nathan Williams has been out since week 3 with a knee injury and is out for the year.

This rivalry goes back to 1913. As you would expect, Ohio State holds a major edge: 53-18-5. Amazingly, Wisconsin won the first 3 meetings, but the Buckeyes went 9-3-2 against the Badgers from 1916-1945. At that point the Buckeyes held a 9-6-2 edge all-time. Ohio State went 9-1-2 against Wisconsin from 1948-1959 to make their all-time record 18-7-4. The Buckeyes then reeled off 21 consecutive victories in the series from 1960-1981. That made their all-time record against Wisconsin 39-7-4.

The Badgers put an end to the dominance for a while, winning 5 of 7 from 1981-1987 to bring Ohio State’s edge down to 41-12-4. But then Ohio State went 7-1-1 against Wisconsin from 1988-1996 to increase their lead up to 48-13-5. The teams have split 10 meetings since (1999-2010).

The Badgers won at home last year (31-18) to snap a 3-game losing streak against the Buckeyes. Wisconsin has lost 2 straight at Ohio State but they won 3 in a row in Columbus prior to that (last win in at Ohio State in 2004). The Badgers have had much better luck on the road against Ohio State in the last 30 years than they did in the 60 or so before. From 1930-1979 the Badgers went 0-19-3 in Columbus. However, since 1982, Wisconsin is 8-5 at Ohio State. Their last road win against the Buckeyes prior to 1982 was in 1918.


Other Games


Tuesday


Troy (+6) @ Florida International (Troy beats the spread)


Wednesday


Connecticut (+10) @ Pittsburgh (UConn beats the spread)


Thursday


Rice (+27) @ Houston (Houston covers)

Virginia (+14) @ Miami (Miami covers)


Friday


BYU (+13) @ TCU (TCU covers)


Saturday


NC State (+19.5) @ Florida State (FSU covers)

Northwestern (-8.5) @ Indiana (Indiana beats the spread)

Syracuse (+3.5) @ Louisville (Cuse beats the spread)

Purdue (+13.5) @ Michigan (Purdue beats the spread)

UAB (+5.5) @ Marshall (Marshall covers)

Central Michigan (-9) @ Akron (CM covers)

Arkansas (-10) @ Vanderbilt (Vandy beats the spread)

Virginia Tech (-15.5) @ Duke (VT covers)

Bowling Green (-5) @ Kent State (BG covers)

Ball State (+11.5) @ Western Michigan (BSU beats the spread)

Air Force (-30.5) @ New Mexico (AF covers)

Washington State (+36.5) @ Oregon (Oregon covers)

Boston College (+7) @ Maryland (Maryland covers)

Tulane (+16.5) @ East Carolina (ECU covers)

Wake Forest (+7.5) @ North Carolina (WF beats the spread)

Iowa (-16) @ Minnesota (Iowa covers)

West Virginia (-7) @ Rutgers (Rutgers beats the spread)

Buffalo (+6.5) @ Miami (Ohio) (Buffalo beats the spread)

SMU (+3.5) @ Tulsa (SMU beats the spread)

Western Kentucky (+6) @ Louisiana-Monroe (WK beats the spread)

Memphis (+28.5) @ Central Florida (Memphis beats the spread)

San Jose State (+7.5) @ Louisiana Tech (SJS beats the spread)

Hawaii (-7) @ Idaho (Idaho beats the spread)

Colorado State (-2.5) @ UNLV (CSU covers)

Colorado (+31) @ Arizona State (ASU covers)

California (-5.5) @ UCLA (Cal covers)

Mississippi (+10.5) @ Auburn (Auburn covers)

Mississippi State (-10) @ Kentucky (Miss St covers)

Kansas (+28) @ Texas (Texas covers)

Oregon State (+5) @ Utah (Oregon State beats the spread)

North Texas (+17) @ Arkansas State (NT beats the spread)

Iowa State (+15) @ Texas Tech (Texas Tech covers)

South Carolina (-4) @ Tennessee (SC covers)

Louisiana-Lafayette (+2.5) @ Middle Tennessee State (ULL pulls off the upset)

Nevada (-15) @ New Mexico State (Nevada covers)

Southern Miss (-10) @ UTEP (UTEP beats the spread)

Wyoming (+16.5) @ San Diego State (SD State covers)

Arizona (+6) @ Washington (Washington covers)

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