Thursday, September 8, 2011

The NFL Blog: 2011 Season Predictions

2011 NFL Predictions

· Division winners in bold italics; wildcard teams in bold.

· Specific tiebreaking procedures used for standings within each division and conference, as well as for playoff position.

· Conference playoff seeding listed to right of team records inside brackets: [#].

· Position in my preseason power rankings listed to right of playoff seeding in bold parenthesis: (#).

· Divisions ranked 1-8 in three different ways: power rank (based on strength of top two teams in division); depth rank (based on strength of bottom two teams in division); overall rank (based on strength of teams 1-4 in division).

· Also listed: number of winning teams in each division; number of 11-win teams in each division; number of 11-loss teams in each division.

AFC

East [Power Rank: #1; Depth Rank: #3; Overall Rank: #1; Winning Teams: 2; 11-Win Teams: 2; 11-Loss Teams: 1]

1. New England: 13-3 [2] (1)

2. New York Jets: 11-5 [6] (6)

3. Miami: 7-9 [10] (15)

4. Buffalo: 5-11 [12] (31)


North [Power Rank: #2; Depth Rank: #6; Overall Rank: #3; Winning Teams: 2; 11-Win Teams: 2; 11-Loss Teams: 1]

1. Pittsburgh: 13-3 [1] (3)

2. Baltimore: 13-3 [5] (7)

3. Cleveland: 8-8 [9] (22)

4. Cincinnati: 5-11 [14] (28)


South [Power Rank: #7; Depth Rank: #5; Overall Rank: #7; Winning Teams: 2; 11-Win Teams: 0; 11-Loss Teams: 2]

1. Houston: 10-6 [4] (14)

2. Indianapolis: 9-7 [8] (13)

3. Tennessee: 5-11 [13] (21)

4. Jacksonville: 3-13 [16] (29)


West [Power Rank: #3; Depth Rank: #7; Overall Rank: #6; Winning Teams: 2; 11-Win Teams: 1; 11-Loss Teams: 1]

1. San Diego: 12-4 [3] (2)

2. Kansas City: 10-6 [7] (10)

3. Denver: 6-10 [11] (27)

4. Oakland: 4-12 [15] (25)


NFC

East [Power Rank: #4; Depth Rank: #4; Overall Rank: #5; Winning Teams: 3; 11-Win Teams: 1; 11-Loss Teams: 1]

1. Philadelphia: 12-4 [3] (4)

2. New York Giants: 10-6 [6] (11)

3. Dallas: 10-6 [7] (16)

4. Washington: 4-12 [14] (30)


North [Power Rank: #5; Depth Rank: #2; Overall Rank: #4; Winning Teams: 1; 11-Win Teams: 1; 11-Loss Teams: 1]

1. Green Bay: 12-4 [2] (5)

2. Chicago: 7-9 [9] (12)

3. Minnesota: 6-10 [10] (24)

4. Detroit: 4-12 [15] (19)


South [Power Rank: #6; Depth Rank: #1; Overall Rank: #2; Winning Teams: 2; 11-Win Teams: 2; 11-Loss Teams: 1]

1. New Orleans: 13-3 [1] (8)

2. Atlanta: 12-4 [5] (9)

3. Tampa Bay: 8-8 [8] (17)

4. Carolina: 5-11 [13] (20)


West [Power Rank: #8; Depth Rank: #8; Overall Rank: #8; Winning Teams: 0; 11-Win Teams: 0; 11-Loss Teams: 3]

1. St. Louis: 6-10 [4] (18)

2. Seattle: 5-11 [11] (26)

3. San Francisco: 5-11 [12] (23)

4. Arizona: 3-13 [16] (32)


NFL Playoffs

AFC Wildcard Round

#3 San Diego over #6 New York Jets

#5 Baltimore over #4 Houston

AFC Divisional Round

#1 Pittsburgh over #5 Baltimore

#2 New England over #3 San Diego

AFC Championship Game

#2 New England over #1 Pittsburgh

NFC Wildcard Round

#3 Philadelphia over #6 New York Giants

#5 Atlanta over #4 St. Louis

NFC Divisional Round

#5 Atlanta over #1 New Orleans

#3 Philadelphia over #2 Green Bay

NFC Championship Game

#5 Atlanta over #3 Philadelphia

Super Bowl XLVI

#2 New England over #5 Atlanta


Division/Conference/Super Bowl Winners

AFC East: New England

AFC North: Pittsburgh

AFC South: Houston

AFC West: San Diego

NFC East: Philadelphia

NFC North: Green Bay

NFC South: New Orleans

NFC West: St. Louis

AFC Champion: New England

NFC Champion: Atlanta

Super Bowl Champion: New England


Division Power Rankings

1. AFC East

2. AFC North

3. AFC West

4. NFC East

5. NFC North

6. NFC South

7. AFC South

8. NFC West


Division Depth Rankings

1. NFC South

2. NFC North

3. AFC East

4. NFC East

5. AFC South

6. AFC North

7. AFC West

8. NFC West


Overall Division Rankings

1. AFC East

2. NFC South

3. AFC North

4. NFC North

5. NFC East

6. AFC West

7. AFC South

8. NFC West


Most Winning Teams

1. NFC East: 3

T2. AFC East: 2

T2. AFC North: 2

T2. AFC South: 2

T2. AFC West: 2

T2. NFC South: 2

7. NFC North: 1

8. NFC West: 0


Most 11-Win Teams

T1. AFC East: 2

T1. AFC North: 2

T1. NFC South: 2

T4. AFC West: 1

T4. NFC East: 1

T4. NFC North: 1

T7. AFC South: 0

T7. NFC West: 0


Fewest 11-Loss Teams

T1. AFC East: 1

T1. AFC North: 1

T1. AFC West: 1

T1. NFC East: 1

T1. NFC North: 1

T1. NFC South: 1

7. AFC South: 2

8. NFC West: 3


Awards and Honors

Super Bowl XLVI MVP: Tom Brady-QB-New England

NFL Coach of the Year: Norv Turner-San Diego

NFL Comeback Player of the Year: Plaxico Burress-WR-New York Jets

NFL Defensive Player of the Year: Clay Matthews-LB-Green Bay

NFL Offensive Player of the Year: Adrian Peterson-RB-Minnesota

NFL Most Valuable Player of the Year: Philip Rivers-QB-San Diego

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year: Julio Jones-WR-Atlanta

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year: Von Miller-LB-Denver


Stat Leaders

QB Rating: Tom Brady-QB-New England

Passing TD: Philip Rivers-QB-San Diego

Passing Yards: Drew Brees-QB-New Orleans

Rushing Yards: Adrian Peterson-RB-Minnesota

Rushing TD: Michael Turner-RB-Atlanta

Receptions: Wes Welker-WR-New England

Receiving Yards: Calvin Johnson-WR-Detroit

Receiving TD: Larry Fitzgerald-WR-Arizona

Sacks: Clay Matthews-LB-Green Bay

Tackles: Patrick Willis-LB-San Francisco

Interceptions: Asante Samuel-CB-Philadelphia

Forced Fumbles: John Abraham-DE-Atlanta

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