Last Week’s Record
Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 7-3; Vs. Spread: 2-8)
Overall (Straight Up: 35-12; Vs. Spread: 15-31-1; Moneyline Upsets: 1-3)
Season Record
Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 24-16; Vs. Spread: 15-24-1)
Overall (Straight Up: 137-43; Vs. Spread: 82-89-2; Moneyline Upsets: 6-10)
Week 4 Review: A second straight awful week. 2-8 ATS in the biggest 10 games is embarrassing. And I’m not sure about this, but I can’t recall a week when I’ve been anywhere near as bad as 15-31-1 ATS overall. 16 games under .500 ATS? That’s a season wrecker.
Week 5 Preview: Well I’ve obviously lost some confidence but there’s no time to be timid. I’ve got a lot of ground to make up just to get back to .500. Meanwhile, this is actually an “under-the-radar” college football week. There are perhaps only 3 truly huge games, but there are plenty of meaningful matchups. There are actually 12 different in-state battles this week, as well as at least 4 other true rivalry games. Unfortunately, no time for comments this week, as the Braves’ collapse kept me totally occupied again this week.
Thursday
Game 1: South Florida (-2.5) @ Pittsburgh
Pick: South Florida covers
Saturday
Game 2: Texas A&M (-2.5) vs. Arkansas (Arlington)
Pick: Texas A&M covers
Game 3: Mississippi State (+7) @ Georgia
Pick: Georgia covers
Game 4: Northwestern (+9.5) @ Illinois
Pick: Northwestern beats the spread
Game 5: Air Force (+3.5) @ Navy
Pick: Navy covers
Game 6: Auburn (+10) @ South Carolina
Pick: Auburn beats the spread
Game 7: Michigan State (+3) @ Ohio State
Pick: Ohio State covers
Game 8: Clemson (+7) @ Virginia Tech
Pick: Clemson beats the spread
Game 9: Nebraska (+10) @ Wisconsin
Pick: Nebraska beats the spread
Game 10: Alabama (-3.5) @ Florida
Pick: Florida beats the spread
Other Games
Thursday
Houston (-16.5) @ UTEP (UTEP beats the spread)
Friday
Utah State (+7.5) @ BYU (Utah State beats the spread)
Saturday
Penn State (-15.5) @ Indiana (PSU covers)
Minnesota (+20.5) @ Michigan (Michigan covers)
Rutgers (+1.5) @ Syracuse (Rutgers pulls off the upset)
Toledo (+8) @ Temple (Temple covers)
Tulane (+7) @ Army (Army covers)
Texas Tech (-6.5) @ Kansas (Texas Tech covers)
Kentucky (+30.5) @ LSU (LSU covers)
Buffalo (+28.5) @ Tennessee (Tennessee covers)
Wake Forest (-1) @ Boston College (BC pulls off the upset)
Akron (+8.5) @ Eastern Michigan (EM covers)
Cincinnati (-14.5) @ Miami (Ohio) (Cinci covers)
Kent State (+17) @ Ohio (Kent St. beats the spread)
Nevada (+27) @ Boise State (Nevada beats the spread)
Georgia Tech (-10) @ NC State (GT covers)
Baylor (-3.5) @ Kansas State (Baylor covers)
Northern Illinois (-8.5) @ Central Michigan (NIU covers)
Idaho (+16.5) @ Virginia (UVA covers)
Bowling Green (+18) @ West Virginia (BG beats the spread)
Marshall (+11) @ Louisville (Louisville covers)
SMU (+13) @ TCU (SMU beats the spread)
Arizona (+12.5) @ USC (USC covers)
Washington State (+3) @ Colorado (Washington St. beats the spread)
Western Michigan (+3) @ Connecticut (WM pulls off the upset)
San Jose State (+3.5) @ Colorado State (SJS beats the spread)
Arkansas State (-14) @ Western Kentucky (Ark St. covers)
Florida Atlantic (+8.5) @ Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL covers)
Duke (+3.5) @ Florida International (Duke beats the spread)
Ball State (+38) @ Oklahoma (Oklahoma covers)
North Texas (+23) @ Tulsa (NT beats the spread)
Washington (+9.5) @ Utah (Washington beats the spread)
Texas (-9.5) @ Iowa State (Texas covers)
Memphis (+23) @ Middle Tennessee State (MTS covers)
UAB (+17) @ Troy (Troy covers)
Hawaii (+4.5) @ Louisiana Tech (LT covers)
Rice (+14.5) @ Southern Miss (Rice beats the spread)
New Mexico State (-1.5) @ New Mexico (NMS covers)
Notre Dame (-11.5) @ Purdue (ND covers)
North Carolina (-7) @ East Carolina (ECU beats the spread)
Mississippi (+4) @ Fresno State (Fresno St. covers)
Oregon State (+18.5) @ Arizona State (ASU covers)
UCLA (+21) @ Stanford (Stanford covers)
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