The College Football Blog: 2009 Week 7 Betting Lines

Last Week: Vs. Spread (3-7); Moneyline Upsets (1-2)
Season: Vs. Spread (25-34-1); Moneyline Upsets (6-8)

Week 6 Review: Another awful week for me. I could easily, easily have gone 0-10 ATS last week, as Nebraska trailed by double digits in the 2nd half, Michigan trailed by 10 late, and Washington trailed by 12 with less than 4 minutes left.

Week 7 Preview: There are a few big games this week but there seems to be less action overall this Saturday. But week 7 from Tuesday through Saturday is pretty solid, with interesting matchups on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. With Baseball snoozing and losing, what would we do during the work week without college football?

Wednesday

Game 1: Boise State (-8.5) @ Tulsa
Pick: Tulsa beats the spread
Comment: Boise State is 4-0 vs. Tulsa. Under Chris Peterson, the Broncos are 40-4. 2 of those 4 losses have come after bye weeks. Boise State hasn’t played since a scrimmage with UC Davis 11 days ago. 18 days ago they played at Bowling Green. Tulsa hasn’t played since a game against Rice 11 days ago. 18 days ago they played Sam Houston State. So basically neither one of these teams has played a real game against real competition in over 3 weeks. Tulsa is 19-3 at home since late in 2005. Their only home losses since have come in double overtime to Rice a few years ago; to Oklahoma 2 years ago; and last year in the C-USA Championship Game to ECU. I don’t think Boise State can be beaten at home, but they could run into trouble in this one.

Thursday

Game 2: Cincinnati (-3) @ South Florida
Pick: Cincinnati covers
Comment: I think either team could win but the Bearcats have proven to be a very tough team over the last few years, and they’ve been able to do what South Florida hasn’t: handle success well.

Saturday

Game 3: Oklahoma (+3) vs. Texas
Pick: Texas covers
Comment: I don’t think Bradford and the Sooners can get in sync enough in time for this one. That means Oklahoma may have 3 losses after 7 weeks.

Game 4: Iowa (+3) @ Wisconsin
Pick: Wisconsin covers
Comment: Both teams have proven resilient. I think Iowa is better but Camp Randall is a tough place to play.

Game 5: USC (-10) @ Notre Dame
Pick: Notre Dame beats the spread
Comment: The outcome of this game depends on whether the Trojans think it’s a big game or not. If they do think it’s a big game, then they’ll crush the Irish. If not, ND could make it interesting.

Game 6: Texas Tech (+10.5) @ Nebraska
Pick: Texas Tech beats the spread
Comment: I like Nebraska to win but that’s a big spread.

Game 7: Minnesota (+17) @ Penn State
Pick: Minnesota beats the spread
Comment: I could regret this but the Gophers have played PSU tough in recent years.

Game 8: Virginia Tech (-3) @ Georgia Tech
Pick: Virginia Tech covers
Comment: I really hope GT loses. If not, I’m not sure when they will again.

Game 9: South Carolina (+17) @ Alabama
Pick: Alabama covers
Comment: Bama has maintained the same level of intensity each week and they’ll need to do that again on Saturday.

Game 10: Missouri (+7.5) @ Oklahoma State
Pick: Oklahoma State covers
Comment: This Mizzu team had surprised until the 4th quarter last Thursday. Ok State needs to try and save their season.

Moneyline Special

Rutgers over Pittsburgh: Rutgers is a 3 point underdog at home on Friday night. Pittsburgh is the most unreliable team in the country. The Knights haven’t played anybody decent in a while. The crowd should be rockin’.

UCLA over Cal: Cal is a 3.5 point home dog against the Bears this week. The home team has been winning this one lately and Cal has probably quit on the season anyway.

Washington over Arizona State: The Huskies are 7 point underdogs on the road in the desert this weekend. I watched the second half of the Washington-Arizona game last Saturday after everyone else was asleep. Washington is going to ride that momentum the rest of the year and probably through next season as well.