The College Football Blog: 2010 Week 7 Betting Lines

Last Week’s Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight up: 6-4; Vs. Spread: 4-4-2)

Overall (Straight up: 38-17; Vs. Spread: 26-27-2; Moneyline Upsets: 1-3)

Season Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight up: 46-14; Vs. Spread: 23-32-5)

Overall (Straight up: 226-65; Vs. Spread: 136-150-5; Moneyline Upsets: 6-16)

Week 6 Review: Well, I would have been a game over .500 if I hadn’t left the damn West Virginia-UNLV game out!!! Instead, it went as a loss and I finished a game below .500. That about sums up my week 6.

Week 7 Preview: This is a really, really slow week. As for my picks, I feel like I have a good shot at .500, as long as I don’t leave out any games.

Thursday

Game 1: Kansas State (-3) @ Kansas
Pick: Kansas State covers
Comment: Yeah, like I said, it’s a slow week. This game was originally scheduled to be played on Saturday. KU will play this game after 12 days off, while the Wildcats will play on Thursday night for the second week in a row. Both teams got their asses kicked the last time out. Last season KSU snapped a 3 game losing skid to their bitter rivals, but Kansas has won 3 straight at home in this series.

Saturday

Game 2: Missouri (+3.5) @ Texas A&M
Pick: Missouri pulls off the upset
Comment: Missouri is 5-0 but the Tigers haven’t really been tested yet. A&M comes into this game having lost 2 in a row, and the Aggies look destined for another mediocre year.

Game 3: South Carolina (-5.5) @ Kentucky
Pick: Kentucky beats the spread
Comment: South Carolina will have to keep their guard up, as they will be coming into this game on a high after beating Alabama at home last week. The Wildcats have lost 3 straight but they are dangerous. They will be much less dangerous if RB Derrick Locke cannot go this Saturday, and he is questionable with an ailing shoulder. With South Carolina coming off the biggest win of the Steve Spurrier era, you might think that they are primed for an upset. Last season the Gamecocks had to break up a 2-pt conversion in order to preserve a 28-26 win. However, South Carolina has won 10 in a row over Kentucky, and Spurrier is 17-0 in his career against the Cats.

Game 4: Iowa (-3) @ Michigan
Pick: Iowa covers
Comment: Iowa is definitely tough, but they lost their first road game this season, and they are just 7-24-1 in their last 32 games against Michigan. 5 of Michigan’s 7 losses to the Hawkeyes over that time have been by 3 points or less, including last season when Iowa got a pick with less than a minute left to seal a 30-28 win at home. Michigan started last year 4-0, then lost to Michigan State, and went on to drop 7 of their last 8 games (with the only win coming against Delaware State). We’ll see if they can avoid a similar collapse this season, having started off 5-0 before losing again to their instate rivals last weekend. Iowa is just 7-8 off of a bye under Kirk Ferentz.

Game 5: Oklahoma State (+3.5) @ Texas Tech
Pick: Oklahoma State beats the spread
Comment: The Cowboys are 5-0, but this will be Okie State’s first true road test. The visitor has lost 8 straight and 11 of 12 in this series. But Texas Tech has already lost at home this season and the Red Raiders don’t seem to have completely settled in yet under Tommy Tuberville. I have my doubts as to whether they ever will.

Game 6: Texas (+10) @ Nebraska
Pick: Texas beats the spread
Comment: A rematch of last season’s controversial Big XII Championship Game. Nebraska has lost 8 of 9 to Texas, including the last 5 played between these two, although 4 of the last 5 have been decided by 3 points or less. Nebraska is coming off of a blowout over previously unbeaten Kansas State on the road last Thursday. The Longhorns are coming off of a bye but they have lost their last 2 games by double digits. Texas has not lost 3 consecutive games since losing their final 3 games of the 1999 season (at Texas A&M; vs. Nebraska in the Big XII Championship Game; vs. Arkansas in the Cotton Bowl), Mack Brown’s 2nd in Austin. The Longhorns are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games going back to last year’s A&M game.

Game 7: BYU (+29.5) @ TCU
Pick: TCU covers
Comment: During the summer this looked like one of the few games on the TCU schedule that the Horned Frogs might possibly lose. It was a long shot, as BYU was expected to be down a bit this season, and TCU is always tough to beat at home. At this point it’s not even a long shot. Look at that spread. BYU is expected to lose by 30. On second thought, maybe they do need to go independent. The Horned Frogs have won 17 straight at home. The Cougars are 0-3 on the road this season, losing all 3 games by at least 15 points. TCU won the last 2 meetings by a combined score of 70-14.

Game 8: Ohio State (-4) @ Wisconsin
Pick: Ohio State covers
Comment: Wisconsin was the only team to beat Ohio State 3 times in the 2000's. Unfortunately for the Badgers, the last win came in 2004. Wisconsin has lost 3 straight to Ohio State and 4 of 5 to the Buckeyes at home. If the Badgers are looking for hope they can focus on the fact that they are 13-1 in their last 14 home games overall. Also, the Buckeyes struggled a bit in their only road game this season, winning 24-13 over Illinois in a game that was closer than the final score indicated.

Game 9: Arkansas (+3.5) @ Auburn
Pick: Auburn covers
Comment: This game has been a thorn in the ass of the Tigers for some time now. There have been 4 straight upsets in this series. The road team had won 4 straight and 5 of 6 before Auburn fell at Arkansas last season. The Hogs are still only 2-8 on the road under Bobby Petrino.

Game 10: Nevada (-7) @ Hawaii
Pick: Hawaii beats the spread
Comment: Everyone wants to see Nevada and Boise State face each other with both teams still undefeated. So far, so good. But the Wolf Pack have a stumbling block in their way this Saturday. The trip to Hawaii is always a tricky one, and the Warriors just whipped Fresno State on the road by 22. The home team has won 10 of 11 in this series. In fact, Nevada has not won on the island since 1948.

Other Games

Wednesday

Central Florida (-5.5) @ Marshall (Marshall beats the spread)

Thursday

South Florida (+10.5) @ West Virginia (West Virginia covers)

Friday

Cincinnati (-2.5) @ Louisville (Cinci covers)

Saturday

Boston College (+21.5) @ Florida State (FSU covers)

Arkansas State (+11.5) @ Indiana (Indiana covers)

Illinois (+7) @ Michigan State (MSU covers)

NC State (-7) @ East Carolina (NC State covers)

Pittsburgh (-2.5) @ Syracuse (Cuse pulls off the upset)

Maryland (+14.5) @ Clemson (Maryland beats the spread)

Southern Miss (-14.5) @ Memphis (Southern Miss covers)

Minnesota (+5.5) @ Purdue (Minnesota beats the spread)

Miami (Ohio) (+13) @ Central Michigan (Miami (OH) beats the spread)

Vanderbilt (+16.5) @ Georgia (Vandy beats the spread)

Mississippi State (+7) @ Florida (Florida covers)

Mississippi (+20.5) @ Alabama (Mississippi beats the spread)

Eastern Michigan (+14) @ Ball State (BSU covers)

Bowling Green (+20) @ Temple (Temple covers)

Miami (-19.5) @ Duke (Duke beats the spread)

Akron (+16.5) @ Ohio (Ohio covers)

Army (+7) @ Rutgers (Army beats the spread)

UNLV (+3.5) @ Colorado State (CSU covers)

Western Michigan (+24) @ Notre Dame (WM beats the spread)

California (+2.5) @ USC (USC covers)

Buffalo (+15.5) @ Northern Illinois (NIU covers)

Houston (-9.5) @ Rice (Rice beats the spread)

Wake Forest (+22.5) @ Virginia Tech (VT covers)

Middle Tennessee State (+19) @ Georgia Tech (GT covers)

SMU (Pick) @ Navy (Navy wins)

UTEP (+2.5) @ UAB (UTEP pulls off the upset)

Idaho (+1.5) @ Louisiana Tech (LT covers)

Utah (-20.5) @ Wyoming (Utah covers)

North Carolina (-6.5) @ Virginia (UVA beats the spread)

Kent State (+2.5) @ Toledo (Toledo covers)

Louisiana-Lafayette (+19) @ Troy (Troy covers)

Baylor (-1) @ Colorado (Baylor covers)

Iowa State (+23.5) @ Oklahoma (Oklahoma covers)

Louisiana-Monroe (+2) @ Western Kentucky (ULM pulls off the upset)

Tulane (+18.5) @ Tulsa (Tulsa covers)

Arizona (-23.5) @ Washington State (Washington State beats the spread)

Florida International (-5) @ North Texas (FIU covers)

Air Force (+1) @ San Diego State (Air Force pulls off the upset)

Boise State (-39.5) @ San Jose State (Boise State covers)

Oregon State (-1) @ Washington (Oregon State covers)

New Mexico State (+31) @ Fresno State (Fresno State covers)