Tuesday, November 8, 2011

The College Football Blog: 2011 Week 11 Betting Lines

Last Week’s Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 8-2; Vs. Spread: 5-5)

Overall (Straight Up: 38-14; Vs. Spread: 30-22; Moneyline Upsets: 4-1)

Season Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 63-37; Vs. Spread: 43-56-1)

Overall (Straight Up: 359-131; Vs. Spread: 237-241-5; Moneyline Upsets: 17-17)

Week 10 Review: Well I wasn’t quite 85% ATS but I’ll take it. Needed a good week to get back in it. Now I need another one just like it.

Week 11 Preview: There’s just a ton of football this week. There are 57 games, none of them featuring FCS teams. There is football Monday through Sunday again this week (Tuesday through Saturday college of course). And there are a number of big games this week. It was tough to narrow it down to 10. As for my chances this week, I’m actually really nervous. I feel like I’m picking way too may underdogs to beat the spread.


Thursday


Game 1: Virginia Tech (-1) @ Georgia Tech

Pick: Virginia Tech covers

Comments: This is easily the best game of the weekday schedule. And it’s a big game. Virginia Tech is 8-1 overall (2-7 ATS) and 4-0 on the road (1-3 ATS). They are 4-1 in conference and in 1st place in the ACC Coastal. Georgia Tech is 7-2 overall (5-3-1 ATS) and 5-0 at home (4-1 ATS). The Jackets are 4-2 and in 2nd place in the Coastal. Quite obviously, a trip to the ACC championship game—and therefore a chance at a trip to a BCS game—could be on the line.

Both teams are coming off of a bye. VT has won their last 4 games but they have lost 2 straight and 7 of 8 ATS. GT snapped a 2-game skid in their last time out with a big win over Clemson at home (31-17). They also ended a 3-game skid ATS with that win.

The history in this series is all recent. Virginia Tech has a 5-3 edge in the all-time series. The teams first squared off late in the 1990 season; the same 1990 season that ended with Georgia Tech holding a share of the national title. The Jackets won that first meeting 6-3 at home. Virginia Tech has won 5 of the 7 meetings since then, all of which have occurred since 2004, when the teams began playing on an annual basis. Last year VT won at home, 28-21. GT won the last time here (2009), 28-23. The Hokies are 2-2 all-time against GT in Atlanta (2-1 since 2004).


Saturday


Game 2: Nebraska (-2.5) @ Penn State

Pick: Penn State pulls off the upset

Comments: Ooof. Have you read the grand jury report? It reads like that Stephen King short story about the succubus librarian. It’s definitely disgusting and pathetic. However, I don’t come away with a feeling that Joe Paterno was somehow an accomplice. If Paterno was told that Sandusky was performing sodomy on the child and he didn’t tell the police, that’s obviously awful and he should be forced to retire. In fact, I don’t understand why that wouldn’t be a criminal act just as it would be for the higher officials not to report it.

On the other hand, if as Joe Pa claims, the graduate assistant merely said he had witnessed something that had made him feel uncomfortable, I refuse to condemn Paterno for not assuming that Sandusky had been doing the worst sort of thing possible. I believe Paterno reported it to the proper authorities, assumed that if there was merit it to it that it would be dealt with, and then just put it out of his mind. Why would anyone want to think that a former longtime understudy was not just a mentor of young men but was actually a sexual predator?

Look, it’s obvious that Penn State was more concerned with avoiding a scandal than protecting children, and maybe that means that everyone at PSU has to go, including Joe Pa. But I don’t understand the rush to condemn him and say that the man who has done more for his university than probably any other man alive should be cut loose immediately, without any chance to defend himself.

Now on to the game, although clearly the game will be overshadowed by the story. I believe Penn State’s fans and players will feel that they too have become victims. I don’t believe they will then shrink for shame, because no Penn State fan or player has ever had anything to do with a former coach being a child rapist. I think they will rally and will support the team and Paterno. Or I could be wrong.

This is a big game, whether we want to think about that or not. I actually do want to think about that because I don’t want to think about the other stuff. And I don’t think the innocent (in this regard) players and fans should be punished because of the actions of a sick man and some gutless administrators.

Nebraska is 7-2 overall (3-6 ATS) and 2-1 on the road (2-1 ATS). They are coming off of a stunning loss at home to Northwestern and their backup QB (28-25 last Saturday). Penn State is 8-1 overall (just 2-7 ATS) and 5-1 at home (1-5 ATS). They have won 7 straight. The Nittany Lions are 5-0 and in 1st in the Lead. Nebraska is 3-2 and tied for 2nd in the Leg.

This series has been played sparingly since 1920. Penn State holds a slim 7-6 edge in the all-time series. The Nittany Lions won the first 2 meetings and 4 of the first 5 (through 1952). Nebraska then won the next 3 meetings and 4 of the next 6 (through 1983). Penn State won at home in 2002 (40-7) and Nebraska won at home in 2003 (18-10). This will be the first meeting since then.


Game 3: West Virginia (+3.5) @ Cincinnati

Pick: Cincinnati covers

Comments: Let’s try and move on. This is a big game, even if neither team is all that good. As I’ve mentioned before, this is because the winner of the Big East—whether we like it or not—is going to play in one of the BCS bowls. The Mountaineers are coming off of another surprising loss, this time at home to Louisville (35-38). They are 6-3 overall (4-5 ATS) and 2-1 on the road (2-1 ATS). The Bearcats are 7-1 overall (5-3 ATS) and 4-0 at home (3-1 ATS). They have won 6 straight (4-2 ATS). At 2-2, West Virginia is now tied for 4th in the Big East. Cincy is on top of the Big East standings at 3-0.

West Virginia dominated this series for many years just as Pitt dominated their series with Cincy for so many years. The Mountaineers hold a 15-3-1 edge over the Bearcats in the all-time series, first played in 1921. West Virginia won the first 4 meetings and won 7 straight from 1969-2002. Through 2002, West Virginia was 11-0-1 against Cincinnati. Cincinnati’s first win over WV came in 2003. They have played every year since 2005, with West Virginia going 4-2 against the Bearcats over that stretch. They have won 5 of 8 against Cincy since 2002. However, when you consider that Cincinnati went 0-11-1 against WV from 1921 through 2002, their 3-4 record against the Mountaineers since then is actually pretty good. West Virginia won 37-10 at home last year. The last time here (2009) Cincinnati won 24-21. West Virginia had been 7-0 all-time at Cincinnati prior to that game.


Game 4: Florida (+4) @ South Carolina

Pick: Florida beats the spread

Comments: It’s the annual matchup of the Ol’ Ball Coach against his alma mater/the program he built. This will be the first ever matchup featuring Steve Spurrier against Will Muschamp. The game lacks some of its usual buzz. The Gamecocks have lost their star RB and their talented (if moronic) senior QB and they have fallen out of 1st place in the SEC East. Florida lost its QB for a while, went on a 4-game losing streak, and had a tough time beating Vandy last week. At 3-4, the Gators are 3rd in the SEC East, while the Gamecocks are in 2nd in the East at 5-2.

This is the last conference game for both teams. If South Carolina losses this game, Georgia would only have to win 1 of their 2 remaining conference games (home against Auburn, home against Kentucky) to clinch the division title and a trip to the conference championship game. On the other hand, if South Carolina wins this game, and the Dawgs lose to either Auburn or Kentucky, South Carolina would go to the conference title game by virtue of their head-to-head win over Georgia.

Florida scraped by Vandy 26-21 at home last week to snap a 4-game losing skid. They have now lost 5 straight ATS. They are 5-4 overall (3-5-1 ATS) and 1-3 on the road (1-3 ATS). South Carolina had their 3-game winning streak snapped last week with a 28-44 loss at Arkansas. The Gamecocks are 7-2 overall (4-5 ATS) and 4-1 at home (2-3 ATS).

Connor Shaw is not a total misfit douche bag like Stephen Garcia, but he’s also not a very good quarterback (at least for this level). Making matters worse, Shaw is actually a question mark this week due to a concussion. Safety Antonio Allen missed last week’s game with a neck injury and he may have to miss this week’s game as well. For Florida, Chris Rainey is probable (ankle) after missing last week’s game. The Gators haven’t had John Brantley, Rainey, and Jeff Demps healthy at the same time very often this year. They should at least have them all playing on Saturday, though perhaps not entirely healthy.

As you might expect, the Gators have dominated this series. They hold a 23-5-3 edge in the all-time series. The first meeting back in 1911 ended in a tie. The Gators won in 1912 and the Gamecocks won in 1913. Through 1939, the Gators held a 5-3-3 edge in the series. The two teams didn’t meet again until 1964; a game the Gators won 37-0. The series would then go another extended hiatus. It didn’t resume until 1992 when the Gators and Gamecocks began playing on an annual basis. From 1992-2004 the Gators defeated South Carolina 13 consecutive times (giving them a 14-game win streak against the Gamecocks going back to 1964). Finally in 2005, Steve Spurrier’s first season with South Carolina, the Gamecocks beat Florida, winning 30-22 at home. Urban Meyer’s Florida Gators then reeled off 4 straight wins against their former coach and South Carolina.

Last year South Carolina went to the Swamp and beat the Gators 36-14. The Gators won the last time here (2009) by a 24-14 score. The Gators have won 18 of 20 against South Carolina, including 8 of 9 in Columbia. Spurrier is 2-4 against Florida as head coach of South Carolina. The Gators haven’t lost back to back games in this series since 1936 and 1939.


Game 5: Michigan State (-3) @ Iowa

Pick: Michigan State covers

Comments: I’m still trying to figure these teams out. Michigan State is obviously a good team but at times they have looked like a great team. Iowa is certainly capable at home but are they really any good? The Spartans are 7-2 overall (5-4 ATS), 1-2 on the road (1-2 ATS), and coming off of a lackluster 31-24 win over Minnesota at home. They have lost 2 in a row ATS. Iowa is 6-3 overall (4-5 ATS) but 6-0 at home (4-2 ATS). They held off Michigan at home last week, 24-16. Michigan State is now in 1st place in the Big Ten Leg at 4-1; Iowa is tied for 2nd in the Leg at 3-2. Last year Michigan State came to Iowa City with an 8-0 record and got hit by an oncoming bus. The Hawkeyes led 37-0 into the 4th and eventually won it 37-6.

Iowa holds a 22-18-2 edge in a series that only goes back to 1953. The Spartans won the first meeting and then lost the next 3. They went 9-2-1 against Iowa from 1965-1978. At that point MSU had a 10-5-1 record against the Hawkeyes. However, Iowa would win the next 5 meetings and 7 of the next 8 through 1986. The teams went 6-6-1 in 13 games from 1987 through 2003. Iowa has won 4 of 5 since then, including 2 straight. The Spartans have lost 7 in a row at Iowa by an average of 15 points per game. Their last win in Iowa City came in 1989.


Game 6: TCU (+15) @ Boise State

Pick: Boise State covers

Comments: This certainly isn’t as big (or doesn’t figure to be as big) as it would have been had these two met in the regular season during the previous few seasons. Certainly Boise State has maintained their level of excellence and strength (or weakness) of schedule, and therefore any contest against a reasonable opponent is fairly big. However, this isn’t the TCU team of the previous few seasons. These Horned Frogs aren’t pushovers but they are much more like a non-BCS conference team than they have been in years. Clearly not having Andy Dalton running the offense makes them less scary on that side of the ball. But the biggest drop-off has been on defense, where TCU has looked downright ordinary at times this season, after being one of (if not the) best defensive teams in the country during the last few seasons.

TCU is 7-2 overall (4-5 ATS) and 3-1 on the road (2-2 ATS). After getting off to a much rockier start than expected, TCU has won 4 in a row, although they have lost their last 2 ATS. The Broncos are 8-0 overall (4-4 ATS) and 3-0 on the blue turf (0-3 ATS). They have won 10 straight going back to last season but they’ve lost their last 2 ATS. Boise State is 34-1 since losing the 2008 Poinsettia Bowl to TCU. They are 46-2 with Kellen Moore at quarterback. The Broncos have won 35 straight at home and 65 straight at home in the regular season (lost to Southern Miss on the blue turf in 2005 Humanitarian Bowl). Since losing to Washington State in the 2001 home opener the Broncos are 66-1 at home. Boise State is 35-0 at home under Chris Petersen.

These two teams will be meeting for only the 4th time ever, but all 4 meetings have come since 2003, and this will be the first meeting in the regular season. Boise State has won 2 of the 3 meetings between these two, all of which have come in bowl games. The Broncos defeated TCU 34-31 in the 2003 Fort Worth Bowl, their first ever meeting. The Horned Frogs eked out a 17-16 win over Boise State in the 2008 Poinsettia Bowl. In 2009 these two met in the Fiesta Bowl, with Boise State winning 17-10.

Beyond the mindboggling national ramifications of Boise State’s stunning loss at Nevada last season (from a guaranteed spot in a BCS bowl to the Las Vegas Bowl; loss of chance for 2nd straight perfect season; end of hopes for spot in the BCS title game) was the odd footnote of the Broncos finishing in a 3-way tie for the WAC title with Nevada and Hawaii. Something similar would likely happen this year if TCU were to somehow win this game. The Horned Frogs are currently in 1st place in the MWC at 4-0; the Broncos are in 2nd in the MWC at 3-0. If TCU won this game they would essentially clinch the conference title, holding a game and a half lead and the head-to-head tiebreaker.

But of course, TCU isn’t likely to win on the blue turf this Saturday. If this game were being played in Fort Worth there would be a much greater chance of Boise State getting challenged and perhaps even knocked off. But you say, “well, woulda, coulda, shoulda.” That’s valid, except that this game was scheduled as a TCU home game until it was announced last year that TCU would be leaving the MWC for the Big East. As a going away present the Mountain West Conference decided the Horned Frogs would be going to Idaho for this one instead.


Game 7: Miami (+9.5) @ Florida State

Pick: Miami beats the spread

Comments: This one isn’t what it once was. It’s not even what it was a few years ago. At this point it’s only a big matchup for in-state rivalry and nostalgia purposes. Al Golden’s Hurricanes may not learn what the NCAA intends to do to them for some time to come. In the meantime they have been an average football team this season. They are 5-4 overall (5-4 ATS) and 1-2 on the road (2-1 ATS). They crushed Duke 49-14 at home last week for their 3rd win in their last 4 games. They have won 4 of their last 5 ATS. The Seminoles began the year with high expectations as always. As usual they have failed to deliver on said expectations. They are 6-3 overall (5-4 ATS) and 4-1 at home (3-2 ATS). Since a stunning loss to Wake Forest in week 6, the Noles have won 4 in a row (4-0 ATS). The Noles are 4-2 and tied for 2nd in the ACC Atlantic. Miami is just 3-3 in conference and in 4th in the ACC Coastal.

There have been 6 consecutive upsets in this series. The home team has lost 5 in a row. FSU’s 45-17 win at Miami last season ended a string of 9 straight that were decided by 8 points or less. Miami holds a 31-24 edge in the all-time series that began back in 1951. The Canes won the first 5 meetings and 8 of the first 9 through 1962. Florida State’s only win during that stretch came in 1958. But then from 1963-1972 the Noles won 7 straight over Miami to even the all-time series. The Canes went 7-5 against FSU from 1973-1984. At that point the Canes held a 15-13 edge in the all-time series. Miami won 4 straight and 8 of the 10 meetings between 1985 and 1994, increasing their lead in the series to 23-15. The Seminoles finally got over their Canes Curse and won 5 in a row from 1995-1999, but then Miami went on a run of 6 straight from 2000-2004 (including 2003 Orange Bowl). FSU has won 4 of the last 6 in this series. The last time here (2009) Miami won 38-34. The Canes have won their last 2 games and 4 of their last 5 in Tallahassee.



Game 8: Auburn (+13.5) @ Georgia

Pick: Auburn beats the spread

Comments: This one is often described as “The South’s Oldest Rivalry.” Begun in 1892, these two teams have played more or less every season for the last 120 years. At the moment, Auburn holds a 54-52-8 edge in the all-time series. It’s been that close. These two teams and programs are similar in many ways and their games have often reflected how comparable they are to each other. In contrast to Auburn-Alabama and Georgia-Florida, this rivalry has usually been characterized by a mutual respect. This isn’t original or anything that hasn’t been said before but I’ve likened the Georgia-Auburn rivalry to an annual duel between cousins.

The Tigers won the very first meeting way back in 1892. The Dawgs won the 2nd meeting in 1894. Through 1907 the two teams had played 14 games and split them 6-6-2. Auburn went on a 7-1-2 run from 1908 to 1919 to take a 13-7-4 lead in the series. Then UGA won 11 of 12 from 1920-1931 (including 9 straight from 1923-1931) to wrestle away control of the all-time series (18-14-4).

From 1932-1939 the Tigers went 6-1-1 to retake the lead in the all-time series (20-19-5). Georgia went on a 10-1-1 run from 1940-1952 to go back ahead (29-21-6). Then things swung back Auburn’s way. From 1953-1965 the Tigers went 11-2 (32-31-6), winning 6 in a row from 1953-1958. From 1966-1982 Georgia went 10-6-1 against Auburn. At that point the Dawgs held a 41-38-7 edge in the series.

But then Auburn went 7-1 against UGA from 1983-1990 to go up 45-42-7. Auburn went 8-6-1 against Georgia from 1991-2005. Through 2005 the Tigers had a 53-48-8 edge in the series. The Dawgs finally got things going back in their favor, winning 4 straight from 2006-2009. The Tigers won last year at home, 49-31, snapping the 4-game slide on the way to the national title.

After going 14-0 and winning the BCS title last season, Auburn is 6-3 overall (4-5 ATS) and 1-3 on the road (1-3 ATS). In their last game they defeated Mississippi 41-23. The Dawgs are now 7-2 overall (6-3 ATS) and 4-2 at home (4-2 ATS). Since starting the year 0-2, UGA has won 7 straight (6-1 ATS). They are 5-1 and in 1st place in the SEC East. A win over Auburn and a South Carolina loss to Florida would clinch the division for the Dawgs. The Tigers are 4-2 and in 4th in the SEC West.

Auburn will be coming off of a bye. The Dawgs should get all 3 suspended RB’s back this week, though Richard Samuel will obviously still be sidelined with that ankle injury. Hopefully WR Malcolm Mitchell will be able to go this week after missing the last 3 and a half with a hamstring injury.


Game 9: Alabama (-17) @ Mississippi State

Pick: Alabama covers

Comments: Bama will be trying to avoid a hangover after last week’s crushing OT loss in the big game against LSU. The Tide are now 8-1 overall (7-2 AST) and 3-0 on the road (3-0 ATS). The 6-9 loss at home against the Tigers snapped a 9-game winning streak and a 5-game win streak ATS. They are now 2nd in the SEC West at 5-1. Miss State is just 1-4 in conference and 5th in the West. They are 5-4 overall (4-5 ATS) and 2-2 at home (2-2 ATS). They’ve won 2 straight and 3 of their last 4. They’ve also won 3 straight ATS. Mississippi State has had a bit of a disappointing year but they could make their season with a win over Bama.

Wins over Bama haven’t exactly been commonplace for the Maroon Dogs. Alabama has dominated this series that goes all the way back to 1896. The Tide hold a 75-17-3 edge in the all-time series. Bama won the first 3 meetings and 6 of the first 7. They went 0-3-1 against Miss State from 1911-1914, making them 6-4-1 against the Maroon Dogs at that point. They wouldn’t meet again until 1919. Bama would go 13-1-1 against Mississippi State from 1919-1939, winning 9 straight from 1922-1934 (19-5-2 all-time at that point). Miss State won in 1940 and 1941, but then Alabama won 9 in a row from 1942-1952. Mississippi State went 3-1-1 against Bama from 1953-1957, bringing Alabama’s all-time lead down to 29-10-3. However, Alabama would win the next 22 meetings in a row from 1958-1979. The Maroon Dogs broke that skid in 1980 but Alabama started another one, winning 15 straight from 1981-1995. At that point Bama held a 66-11-3 edge in the series.

Mississippi State then enjoyed one of its best runs in the history of the series, winning 3 straight and 4 of 5 from 1996-2000. Bama came back with 5 straight wins from 2001-2005. Miss State won back to back games in 2006 and 2007. The Tide have won the last 3 meetings. Bama won last year at home (30-10) and won the last time here (31-3 in 2009). Over the last 3 matchups Bama has outscored Mississippi State 93-20.


Game 10: Oregon (+3.5) @ Stanford

Pick: Stanford covers

Comments: This is the biggest game of week 11. It will likely decide the winner of the Pac-12 North (and therefore likely the Pac-12 title) and will have a major impact on the national landscape. If the Ducks win, they could conceivably move to the front of the line in terms of 1-loss BCS title contenders. An Oregon win would also destroy Stanford’s hopes of getting into the BCS title game. On the other hand, if Stanford wins, they would have a very, very good chance of going undefeated and would have a good chance of reaching the BCS title game.

Oregon has won 8 straight since their loss to LSU in the opener. They are 8-1 overall (5-3-1 ATS) and 3-1 on the road (3-1 ATS). The Ducks are now 6-0 and in 2nd place in the Pac-12 North. Stanford is a perfect 9-0 overall (9-0 ATS!) and 4-0 at home (4-0 ATS). They are in 1st place in the Pac-12 North at 7-0.

The Stanford Indians (I just wrote a section having to deal with “the Tide” and I don’t want to have to deal with “The Cardinal”) have now won 17 straight since losing at Oregon last season. They’ve won 12 in a row ATS and they are 14-0-1 ATS in their last 15 games. The Indians have won 11 straight and 16 of their last 17 at home.

WR Chris Owusu is doubtful for Stanford with a concussion. TE Zach Ertz is out for the Indians. QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James are ready to go for Oregon but they will probably not have CB/PR Cliff Harris (disciplinary).

It may not surprise that Stanford has the edge all-time in this series but it might be surprising how big of an edge they have. This series dates back to 1900 and the Indians have a 44-29-1 edge all-time. Stanford won the first 11 games in this series through 1929. Oregon’s first win came in 1937. The Ducks went 5-4-1 against Stanford from 1936-1952. Stanford won 4 in a row from 1953-1956; Oregon won 7 straight from 1957-1963. The Indians went 14-3 against the Ducks from 1964-1981 and at that time they held a 33-15-1 edge in the series. Stanford went 10-6 against Oregon from 1983-2001.

The Ducks have dominated since then. They won 7 straight from 2002-2008. Stanford won the last time here (2009), 51-42. Oregon won last year at home, 52-31, for their 8th win in their last 9 games against Stanford. Prior to 2009, Oregon had won 3 straight at Stanford.


Other Games


Tuesday


Northern Illinois (-6) @ Bowling Green (BG beats the spread)

Western Michigan (+11.5) @ Toledo (WM beats the spread)


Wednesday


Miami (Ohio) (+12.5) @ Temple (Miami (Ohio) beats the spread)


Thursday


Ohio (-7) @ Central Michigan (Ohio covers)

Houston (-34) @ Tulane (Houston covers)


Friday


South Florida (-3.5) @ Syracuse (Cuse beats the spread)


Saturday


Rice (+16.5) @ Northwestern (NW covers)

Pittsburgh (+3) @ Louisville (Louisville covers)

Texas (Pick) @ Missouri (Missouri wins)

Marshall (+18.5) @ Tulsa (Tulsa covers)

Wake Forest (+16.5) @ Clemson (Clemson covers)

Oklahoma State (-17) @ Texas Tech (Oklahoma State covers)

Ohio State (-7.5) @ Purdue (Ohio State covers)

Kentucky (+13) @ Vanderbilt (Kentucky beats the spread)

NC State (-2.5) @ Boston College (NC State covers)

Buffalo (+3) @ Eastern Michigan (EM covers)

North Texas (+8) @ Troy (NT beats the spread)

Wyoming (+13.5) @ Air Force (Wyoming beats the spread)

Baylor (-20.5) @ Kansas (Baylor covers)

Kent State (-5.5) @ Akron (Kent State covers)

Arizona (-11) @ Colorado (Colorado beats the spread)

Louisiana-Lafayette (+10.5) @ Arkansas State (Ark State covers)

Duke (+10) @ Virginia (Duke beats the spread)

San Jose State (+10.5) @ Utah State (Utah St covers)

Washington (+12.5) @ USC (Washington beats the spread)

Rutgers (-7.5) @ Army (Army beats the spread)

Middle Tennessee State (+5.5) @ Louisiana-Monroe (MTS beats the spread)

Navy (+8.5) @ SMU (Navy beats the spread)

Michigan (+1) @ Illinois (Michigan pulls off the upset)

Texas A&M (-4.5) @ Kansas State (KSU beats the spread)

Wisconsin (-27) @ Minnesota (Wisconsin covers)

UAB (-5) @ Memphis (UAB covers)

Florida Atlantic (+17.5) @ Florida International (FAU beats the spread)

Tennessee (+13.5) @ Arkansas (Arkansas covers)

San Diego State (-13) @ Colorado State (SD State covers)

Oregon State (+9.5) @ California (Cal covers)

UCLA (+7) @ Utah (Utah covers)

Western Kentucky (+42) @ LSU (LSU covers)

Maryland (+20.5) vs. Notre Dame (ND covers)

Louisiana Tech (-2.5) @ Mississippi (LT covers)

Fresno State (-7.5) @ New Mexico State (NMS beats the spread)

Central Florida (+9) @ Southern Mississippi (Southern Miss covers)

East Carolina (+3) @ UTEP (ECU beats the spread)

Idaho (+20.5) @ BYU (BYU covers)

UNLV (-7) @ New Mexico (UNLV covers)

Hawaii (+13) @ Nevada (Nevada covers)

Arizona State (-12.5) @ Washington State (ASU covers)

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