Sunday, June 10, 2012

The Hawks Blog: Grading the 2011-2012 Season (Fans)


Grading the Hawks Fans (2011-2012)
In this entry I’ll be grading the Atlanta Hawks fans for the 2011-2012 season. The fans are included for a few reasons. First of all, they are the reason the franchise exists in the first place. They also have a stake in the success of the team. They are share holders, not in a sense that they lose or gain financially based on the success of the team, but they are obviously affected by the team’s success or failure on the court. Finally, the level of interest and dedication shown by the fan base can affect the team in many ways, either positively or negatively.

The Fans
Grade: C
Comments: If you know me, you know that no one is as committed and loyal to the home teams as I am. You also know that no true fan is as honest about Atlanta fans as I am. I do not go easy on my fellow Atlanta/Georgia fans. I’m not going to give Atlanta fans a break for things like “well, there’s just so much to do in Atlanta” or “well, Atlanta fans just aren’t as passionate about pro sports as other fan bases.” In fact, those are the very things that make Atlanta fans—as a group—some of the worst fans in the country. However, I’m going to be fair on both ends of the spectrum. I don’t expect fans to be mindless devotees. 

Attendance may have been impacted by the unusual format of this year’s schedule, which had 8 fewer home games and 8 Western Conference teams never coming to Atlanta (including the Lakers). However, there’s no way to spin it so that Hawks fans (at least those living in Atlanta and the surrounding areas) look great this season. The Hawks averaged 15,199 fans per game this season, ranking 23rd of 30 in the NBA. Philips Arena was 81.2% full on average during the 33 regular season home games (24th out of 30). 

Attendance at Hawks games isn’t awful. The Hawks drew about 1,000 more fans per game than the Pacers, who figured to have lots of things going for them (the Colts lost Peyton Manning and were terrible; Indy has no NHL or MLB team; Indiana fans love basketball; the team was likeable and coming off their best season in years; and the team was better this season than it had been in years). But the Hawks still aren’t doing as well as you would expect if you came into it without any knowledge of Atlanta sports fans. For example, the Hawks drew 1,636 less fans per game than the Toronto Raptors, who figured to have lots of things going against them (they weren’t any good; there is an MLB team in Toronto; Toronto fans care more about the Maple Leafs than anything in the world). 

This was the 3rd straight year that average attendance at Hawks home games dropped. Attendance was down about 450 fans per game this season, and the Hawks drew about 1,550 less fans per game than they did in 2008-2009, when they drew their highest average attendance ever at Philips Arena (16,748). For perspective, they were still just 20th out of 30 in attendance that year. Also, the Hawks were in good position for high attendance that year, as they were coming off of the first playoff appearance in a decade, and were having their best season in a decade. Yet they still only drew about 20 more fans per game that year than the sorry Washington Wizards did this season. 

This was the Hawks worst year in average attendance since 2005-2006. Even in 2006-2007, when the Hawks went 30-52 and had their 8th straight losing season, they still drew about 400 more fans per game than this year. In fact, only about 130 more fans attended Hawks home games on a nightly basis this season than they did in 2005-2006, when the Hawks were coming off of a 13-69 season, and ended up 26-56 for a 7th straight losing season. 

I think we can say that whatever momentum bump the Hawks got from their return to being a competitive team is over and they are now trending downward again in terms of interest in Atlanta. They are still doing better than they did in the early 2000’s when they were a horrible team, and they are also drawing better than they did when they were a decent team during the last few years of the Omni. However, NBA attendance in general has risen over the years, so it’s hard to compare against earlier eras. 

I do think playoff attendance is a good measure of interest among potential fans for various reasons that don’t need to be pointed out here. The Hawks had 3 home playoff games this season. In Game 1 against Boston they drew 19,292. In game 2 they drew 19,308. And game 5 drew 19,319 fans. Those are respectable numbers in my opinion. I was only there for game 1, and at least on that night, Hawks fans were very loud and into the game. 

There were of course plenty of Celtics fans there, but I was at game 1, and at least on that night it was nowhere near the 60-40 ratio that has been reported. I really only noticed Celtics fans as I was coming into the arena, although I’m sure I would have noticed Boston supporters more if the Hawks hadn’t won. But more to the point, I’m not really sure how much opposing fans matter towards the total number in the playoffs. The actual crowd size seemed to be smaller than the announced attendance, meaning a lot of tickets must have been sold to groups or bought by ticket brokers. I’m sure some of the Celtics fans bought tickets at the box office, but many of them probably went through Stubhub or other scalpers, and thus bought tickets which had already been sold. 

The largest crowd for a playoff game at Philips Arena was for game 6 of the 2008 first round series against the Celtics, with 20,425 fans showing up. That makes complete sense for a number of reasons that don’t need to be discussed here. But for the most part, Hawks playoff games have drawn around 19,000 fans per game, regardless of opponent. 

To be honest, I’m not sure what to make of attendance figures at NBA games. The “percentage full” figure is based on the stated capacity of each team’s home arena, yet several teams have percentages higher than 100% every year. That kind of makes the whole “percentage full” thing and the stated capacity irrelevant right? 

I said earlier that playoff attendance should be a good measure of local support. In other words, if you can’t get more than 75% of the arena full in the postseason you are in trouble. But there are times where you really have to question what is going on. For example, during the 2010 playoffs the Hawks had 6 home games. The official attendance for 3 of the 6 games was 18,729 and that just happens to be the official capacity for Hawks games at Philips Arena. The announced attendance at the other 3 games was higher than that number. In other words, it would appear that the smallest the crowd could possibly be was 18,729. If that is true, one has to wonder how those tickets are being sold, or if they even are being sold at all. 

Getting back to the subject matter at hand, I don’t think local fans can be criticized too badly for their support this season, but certainly it wasn’t great. I don’t think it could be said that the Hawks are doing well right now in terms of drawing fans. More than half of the 30 NBA teams drew at least 17,000 fans per game this season, something the Hawks have never done in their 13 years at Philips Arena. The Hawks have never finished better than 18th in the NBA in attendance during their 13 seasons at Philips, and they’ve been 20th or worse in attendance in 12 of those 13 seasons. 

There are many reasons for the lack of support, but I truly believe that the biggest reason—as well as one of the more valid reasons—is the feeling that it’s all very pointless to root for the Hawks because they aren’t going to make it past the 2nd round no matter what. If the question was directed at the average fan the answer might not be that specific, but the main point is that there is a very real (and reasonable) sense among local sports fans that the Hawks aren’t contenders. The Hawks have been in Atlanta for 44 years, and in 28 of those 44 years they have made the playoffs, yet they have never once been as far as the conference finals.

You just aren’t going to get more of a boost from merely being competitive than the Hawks already have. It may be that a fall back to the bottom of the standings would cause attendance to plummet, but one wonders how far it really could fall considering that the Hawks only drew 900 fans less per night in 2004-2005 (when they won 13 games) than they did last year. The only thing--in my opinion--that could cause a significant bump in attendance at least for a short time would be an extended playoff run. Until that happens, I think regular season attendance will continue to drop slightly and playoff attendance will stay about the same.

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