Last Week: Vs. Spread (0-1); Straight Up: (1-0)
Playoffs: Vs. Spread (6-5); Straight Up: (8-3)
Season: Vs. Spread (131-130-6); Straight Up: (165-102)
Playoffs Review: I was 1 game over .500 ATS in the playoffs and that’s what I needed to do to finish over .500 ATS for the season. I guess I have to be happy with that, although I’m annoyed that I didn’t go with my first instinct and pick the Packers to cover in the Super Bowl. I was over .500 ATS in 2 of the 4 playoff rounds (3-1 in the Wild Card round and 2-0 in the Championship round) and under .500 ATS in the other 2 playoff rounds (1-3 in the Divisional round and 0-1 in the Super Bowl).At least I picked the winner of the Super Bowl correctly this year. That’s key for me. And I’ll definitely take an 8-3 record straight up in the playoffs. I was over .500 straight up in 3 of the 4 playoff rounds (3-1 in the Wild Card round, 2-0 in the Championship round, and 1-0 in the Super Bowl) and at .500 straight up in the other playoff round (2-2 in the Divisional round). The Wild Card round (3-1 ATS, 3-1 straight up) and the Championship Round (2-0 ATS, 2-0 straight up) were my two best weeks during the playoffs. The Division round was my worst week, as I went just 1-3 ATS and 2-2 straight up.
Season Review: Well, I finished the year 1 game over .500. That’s nothing special, but I was actually pretty excited. I had pretty much given up on finishing anywhere near .500 by midseason. I was just hoping that it wouldn’t get really embarrassing. But I got hot at the end and finished strong. The first half of the year was awful. I was under .500 ATS in 3 of the first 4 weeks, and I was only over .500 ATS in 1 of the first 7 weeks. After 10 weeks I was 22 games under .500 ATS for the year. But I was over .500 ATS in 6 of the final 7 weeks of the regular season and finished at .500. Then I did just enough in the postseason to finish with a winning record.
I really didn’t have that good of a season picking winners. Once again, it was a horrible start to the year picking games straight up that killed my record. During the first 5 weeks of the year, I was under .500 straight up twice, at .500 once, and my best record picking winners was 9-7. But I turned it around from there, going over .500 straight up in 11 of the last 12 weeks, with only one week under .500 straight up. And I stayed hot in the playoffs picking winners.
During the regular season I was above .500 ATS in 8 weeks, under .500 in 6 weeks, and at .500 ATS in 3 weeks. I was over .500 straight up in 13 weeks, under .500 in 3 weeks, and at .500 straight up once. My best streak ATS was 3 straight weeks over .500 which I did twice. My worst stretch was back to back under .500 records ATS. I was also at .500 or worse against the spread in 4 straight weeks. My best streak straight up was over .500 in 7 straight weeks; my worst stretch straight up was under .500 in consecutive weeks. My best record ATS in any week was week 12 when I went 12-4. My worst record ATS was week 4 when I went just 3-11. My best week straight up was week 9 when I was 11-2. My worst week picking winners was week 10 when I went just 5-9. My best week overall was definitely week 12 when I went 12-4 ATS and 12-4 straight up. My worst week overall was week 4 when I was just 3-11 ATS and 6-8 straight up.
This year I finished with my best ever record ATS, finishing over .500 for the first time. I was 131-130-6 overall ATS this season (127-134-6 in 2009; 128-128-11 in 2008). This was actually my worst year yet picking winners, as I went 165-102 (177-90 in 2009; 169-97-1 in 2008). This was the first time that I lost ATS in the Super Bowl, but at least this time I got the winner correctly after missing it last year. I had also gone 6-5 ATS in the playoffs last year (7-4 in 2008), but this was my best year straight up in the playoffs, as I went 8-3 (7-4 in 2009; 6-5 in 2008).
By the way, as I was writing this entry and comparing my records over the last few years, I was surprised to realize that my total records in each of the previous 2 years did not add up to the correct amount. It turned out that I had made errors in grading myself. Thankfully I ended up benefiting from the corrections. In 2008 I made a mistake adding my record straight up from one week to the next and the correction was never made, so I ended up putting my final record straight up as 167-97-1. It turned out I was really 169-97-1. Then last year I just forgot to include one of the games in one week for my record ATS and straight up. Amazingly, it happened to be a game that I picked correctly ATS and straight up during a terrible week. You’d think I would have been especially careful to add up all the games I got right that week, but I guess not. I had given my final record ATS as 126-134-6, and my final record straight up as 176-90. My record was really 127-134-6 ATS and 177-90 straight up.
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