The NFL Blog: Betting Lines Season Review

Last Week: Vs. Spread (1-0); Straight Up (1-0)
Playoffs: Vs. Spread (7-4); Straight Up (6-5)
Season: Vs. Spread (128-128-11); Straight Up (167-97-1)

Playoffs Review: I guess I was sort of happy with my performance in the postseason betting lines because I was over .500 straight up and 7-4 ATS. But I normally feel like I have a much better feel on the playoffs than I did this time. I only picked 1 of 4 winners in the Divisional Round and 1 of 2 in the Championship Game Round. I had Arizona winning their first game but I thought they had the least chance of winning the Super Bowl of any of the 12 playoff teams and they were a play away from winning it all. I had no clue there.

Season Review: Pretty funny that I ended up exactly .500 ATS out of 267 games. That’s pretty much the way betting works in a sport like the NFL. It’s 50-50. As for being 70 games over .500 straight up, I’ll take a .633 winning percentage, although I thought I would do better. During the regular season I was over .500 against the spread in 9 weeks and under .500 against the spread in 8 weeks. I was over .500 ATS in 3 of the 4 playoff rounds and under .500 ATS in 1 of the 4 playoff rounds. During the regular season I was over .500 straight up in 15 weeks; under .500 straight up 1 week; and at .500 straight up 1 week. I was over .500 straight up in 2 of the 4 playoff rounds; under .500 straight up in 1 of the 4 playoff rounds; and at .500 straight up in 1 of the 4 playoff rounds. During the regular season I was under .500 ATS in consecutive weeks twice but that was my longest such stretch. My longest streak of weeks over .500 ATS was 4. My longest streak of weeks at .500 or better straight up was 15. I was over .500 straight up for 9 straight weeks at 1 point. My worst record ATS in any week 5-9 (.357) which I did twice, first in week 6 and again in week 9. My best record ATS in any week was 8-4-2 (.667) which I did in week 5. My worst record straight up in any week was 7-9 (.438) which I did in week 16. My best record straight up in any week was 11-3 (.786) which I did in week 10. I definitely finished the year stronger than I started it. I was below .500 ATS in 3 of the season’s first 4 weeks and 7 of the first 10. During those first 10 weeks I had a winning percentage of .375 or worse ATS 4 times. But I was over .500 ATS in 5 of the final 6 weeks and never had a winning percentage worse than .438 ATS in any of the final 6 weeks. That nice finish carried over into the playoffs, as I went 3-1 ATS in each of the first 2 rounds before going 0-2 and 1-0 ATS in the final 2 rounds. I picked at least 10 winners correctly in 9 of the 17 weeks of the season. My best week overall was probably either week 7 or week 10. In week 7 I was 9-5 ATS (.643) and 10-4 straight up (.714); in week 10 I went 8-5-1 ATS (.615) and 11-3 straight up (.786). My worst week overall was probably either week 6 or week 16. In week 6 I was just 5-9 ATS (.357) and 7-7 straight up (7-7). In week 16 I was 7-9 ATS (.438) and just 7-9 straight up (.438). My strangest week overall was probably either week 3 or week 5. In week 3 I was just 6-10 ATS (.375) but 12-4 straight up (.750); in week 5 I was 8-4-2 ATS (.667) but just 8-6 straight up (.571).