Wednesday, July 18, 2012

The Hawks Blog: Grading the 2011-2012 Season (Jason Collins)


*Team/NBA Leaderboard ranks are qualified players only.
*The Floor Time section includes both qualified and unqualified players in rankings.
*Remember to check the Glossary at the end of this entry for stat/abbreviation explanations. 


C Jason Collins (3rd season with Hawks/11th season overall)
Age: 33
Draft History: 18th pick in 2001 by Houston
Acquired: Signed as free agent September 2009
2012 Salary: $1.35 Million
2013 Contract Status: Free agent
2012 Regular Season Grade: D-

Grade Explanation: Missed more than half of the games. Was dominated by opposition. Almost always hurt more than helped team. Avoids “F” due to minimum salary and decent defense. 


Overall: “Twin,” as Bob Rathbun calls Jason Collins, is essentially just a big body. He returned this year for a minimum deal and delivered minimum (at best) value. He was brought back almost entirely for 1 specific purpose: to matchup against Dwight Howard in the playoffs. Due to injuries, however, the Hawks found themselves in the highly undesirable position of having to start Collins at various points in the year (including the playoffs!!!). 

JC himself battled injuries throughout the year, but he wound up playing in 30 of 66 games, including 10 starts, and averaging 10.3 MPG. He shot just .400 from the floor, just .467 at the FT line, and did not attempt a 3-pointer. Collins produced just 1.3 P/G, 1.6 R/G, 0.3 A/G, 0.1 S/G, and 0.1 B/G with 0.3 TOV/G. 

Collins is a mountain of a man, standing over 7 feet tall and weighing at least 260 with a wide frame. The trouble is that he’s not at all strong or athletic. He’d be a factor as a low post defender based on his size alone, but his biggest asset is actually his smarts. He just understands the defensive game, not just in 1-on-1 situations but also in team concepts. He’s a very good help defender. 

He can get physical with opposing big men and use their aggression and strength against them. He’s adept at drawing offensive fouls and “pulling the chair out” from beneath big men trying to back their way into the post. These are all of the things which make him so useful against Orlando. No one gives Dwight Howard more problems than Collins. 

That’s about it for positives. Despite his size and body type, Collins is an awful rebounder. He’s also incredibly slow. He can’t finish, he’s a terrible ball handler and passer, and he has zero offensive game in terms of posting up down low. He’s a turnover waiting to happen. Collins will shoot short and midrange jumpers, and supposedly he has a decent shot, but it hasn’t usually panned out that way in Atlanta. 

His biggest weakness defensively (besides not being able to rebound to save his life; having no impact as a shot blocker; and never generating any steals) is his inability to avoid fouling. JC is often involved in a physical matchup down low, and many times whistles are blown and a foul is simply going to have to be called, but it could go either way. In fairness to Collins, he just doesn’t get as many of these calls as more capable big men do. 

JC played in 9% of ATL’s total team minutes and had a virtually even +/- number. However, he was one of only two players on the team with a WIN% below .500. The Hawks outscored opponents by 3.7 more points per 48 minutes without JC on the floor as opposed to with him. 

This season Collins played almost exclusively at center (played a few minutes at power forward). He was absolutely dominated by opposing centers while he was in the game. The Hawks were actually better defensively with Collins in the game, but they were so much worse offensively with him on the floor that it more than outweighed his defensive gains. 

I mentioned earlier that Collins fancies himself a bit of a shooter but it doesn’t seem to pan out that way. 20 of his 40 FGA this season (50% for those not mathematically gifted) were jump shots. He had just a .200 EFG on those shots. 

38% of his FGA were close (excluding dunks and tips) and he had just a .467 EFG on those shots, with 20% of them getting blocked. He did draw a foul on 13% of his FGA this season (unfortunately he made fewer than half of his 15 FTA). Collins had 10 assists and 10 total turnovers. 

Jason Collins played in less than 1% of ATL’s CLUTCH minutes. He missed his only FGA (a jumper) and had 1 turnover in CLUTCH.


Statistics: Any way you slice it, Jason Collins was just not very good at all this season. Even for JC this was a bit of a down year. He made 18 fewer starts than the year before and his MPG dropped by 1.8. His FG% fell .079 from the previous season and his FT% fell .192. 

JC’s  numbers declined from the previous year in all of the main per game stats: P/G (-0.7); R/G (-0.5); A/G (-0.1); S/G (-0.1); B/G (-0.1). His P/G, R/G, A/G, S/G, and B/G numbers were all the 2nd worst marks of his career. He did managed to lower his TOV/G by 0.2 and his ATO improved by 0.15. 

Collins had an embarrassingly low 3.76 PER that was 1.61 worse than the season before. His TS% fell by 12.1 from the previous season and his EFG dropped by .086. Even JC’s WS/48 fell .024 from the prior year. 

As you may have guessed, Jason’s numbers were down on a per 48 minute level this season as well. Compared to the previous season, JC’s P/48 (-1.7), R/48 (-0.8), A/48 (-0.2), S/48 (-0.1), and B/48 (-0.2) were all down. His S/48 and B/48 numbers were the worst of his career. He did lower his TOV/48 by 0.5 from the year before. 

Actually, Jason’s per 48 minute numbers are worth writing out. Remember, this is what Collins’ stat line would look like if he played the entire 48 minute game: 6.1 points, 7.5 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 0.6 steals, and 0.5 blocks. Yes, 6 points and 7 rebounds for a man over 7 feet tall and at least 260 pounds. 


Floor Time Stats/Team Rankings (Unqualified)
MIN%: 9% (13th)         
+/- Per 48: +0.0 (14th)
ON/OFF 48: -3.7 (14th)
+/- W-L-T: 12-15-3
WIN%: 44.4 (15th)
ON/OFF OPHP: -4.2 (12th)
ON/OFF DPHP: -2.1 (6th)
ON/OFF NPHP: -2.0 (11th)


Team Leaderboard: On the negative side, Collins led the team in Ejections (1) and was tied for the team lead in Flagrants (1). 


NBA Leaderboard: Here are Jason’s appearances on the NBA Leaderboard in negative stats.

Ejections (T-7th)
Flagrants (T-16th)


Season Review: Collins battled injuries throughout the year and ended up playing in 30 of 66 games, making 10 starts, and averaging 10.3 MPG. 

JC was battling knee injuries at the start of the season and played in just 3 of the first 10 games for a total of 14 minutes (through January 9th). 

Beginning with Al’s injury on January 11th, Collins played in 7 straight games, making 3 starts (January 11th through 21st). 

He suffered a tear in his left elbow on February 2nd against the Grizzlies and would miss the next 21 games (February 4th through March 16th). 

He played in 17 of the final 22 games, starting the last 6 games of the year following Zaza’s injury. 

JC was never very productive, but his best month of the season was April.


2012 Postseason Grade: D


Grade Explanation: Started the first 4 games and was generally worse than useless. Could not stay on the court due to foul problems. Shot well and grabbed a few boards but had way too many turnovers. Could not handle defensive assignments without fouling. Did draw a huge charge late in game 3.


Statistics: Collins ended up playing in 5 of the 6 playoff games, making 4 starts, and averaging 17.0 MPG. He shot 6 of 11 from the field (.545) and did not go to the line or shoot from 3-point range. Collins totaled 12 points, 8 rebounds, 1 steal, 10 turnovers, 16 personal fouls, and 6 fouls drawn. 

JC played 85 total minutes in the series (8th out of 13 on the team) and had a +/- number of -4 (4th). His W-L-T record in the series was 2-3. Collins posted a -2.2 PER (12th) and amassed -0.1 WS (T-11th) and -.067 WS/48 (12th). 


Postseason Review: With the injuries to Horford and Pachulia, Collins ended up starting the first 4 games of the series. He had a few highlights, but overall he was worse than a non-factor. He was overmatched on defense and brought nothing offensively. Collins had more turnovers than rebounds. He had just 1 steal and no assists or blocked shots. JC might have played more in the series if not for his prolific fouling. 

The only game when Collins was actually decent was game 1. This isn’t too big of a surprise, as so many different things went right for the Hawks in game 1. Outside of Joe Johnson, all of the Hawks played well in the first game, and while Collins was on the court the Hawks were playing very well. 

He made the start and played 31:37 in the opener, finishing with a +/- number of +15. Collins scored 6 points on 3 of 5 shooting with 5 rebounds. It was by far his most active game on the boards. He did get called for 5 personal fouls, but he also drew 3 fouls and committed just 1 turnover. These numbers would look simply magnificent compared with the rest of his series.

JC played 5:10 in the 1st period (+14) as the Hawks built their big lead. His only statistical imprint in the 1st was a missed shot at the rim 2-and-a-half minutes in. But when he exited with 6:50 to play in the quarter the score was 20-6. 

Collins started the 2nd quarter with the Hawks leading 33-18, and he played over 9-and-half minutes in the period (+3). It might have been his best quarter of the whole series. He made his only shot, grabbed 3 rebounds, and drew a foul. He did commit a turnover and a couple of PF’s.   

Collins got on the board about midway through the 2nd, scoring from inside on a feed from T-Mac to put the Hawks up 42-25. He was called for a violation (3 seconds) to turn it over with 5 minutes left and then fouled Brandon Bass 30 seconds later. Bass made both FT’s but the Hawks still led by 17. 

Collins then drew a charge on Sasha Pavlovic with 3:44 left in the half. JC fouled Avery Bradley and Bradley hit 1 of 2 FT’s to make it a 16-point game with 2:22 to play and Collins exited the game. 

Collins was solid again in the 3rd (+1), playing over 7-and-a-half minutes in the quarter and going 2 for 2 from the field for 4 points. He added 2 rebounds and had just 1 PF. 

The Hawks opened the 2nd half up 49-35. JC fouled KG and Garnett hit a pair at the line to cut the deficit to 53-41 with just under 8 minutes left in the 3rd. But moments later Collins would do the unthinkable, scoring back-to-back baskets in the game for a personal 4-0 run. 

At the midway point of the quarter JC rebounded a miss by Kirk Hinrich and put it back up and in to make the score 58-45. A minute later Collins grabbed the rebound at the defensive end, got the ball back from Hinrich at the other end and nailed a 17-footer to make it 60-45. JC came out of the game with 4:26 remaining in the 3rd and the Hawks up by that same score. 

Collins played over 9 minutes in the 4th (-3), missing his only shot and picking up 2 more PF. However, he also drew a pair of fouls. Collins drew a foul on Brandon Bass, fouled Pierce, fouled KG (2/2 at the line to make it 71-65 with 5:19 to go), and drew another foul on Bass with just over 2-and-a-half minutes left. He missed from 16-ft a few seconds later. Collins exited the game for good with 41 seconds remaining and the Hawks ahead by 7. 

Jason wasn’t terrible in game 2, but he simply couldn’t stay on the floor, and he wasn’t very active. In 21:33 of playing time he scored 2 points (1 of 2 shooting) and had 3 rebounds and a steal. He drew 1 foul in the game, but committed 6, to go along with 2 turnovers. Still, he had a +/- number of +3 for the game. 

Collins started and played the first half of the opening quarter (-2), grabbing 2 boards and a steal, drawing a foul, and committing 1 turnover. He stole Paul Pierce’s pass, leading to a score by JJ that made it 6-9 early. He then drew a charge on Mickael Pietrus with under 8 remaining and the score now tied 9-9. Later he grabbed an offensive board but had the ball stolen by Bradley. He exited with 6:06 to go in the 1st and the Hawks down 11-13. Amazingly, Collins would rack up 6 fouls over the final 3 quarters. 

Collins played nearly 9 minutes in the 2nd quarter (+2), scoring 2 points (1 of 2 from the floor) with 1 rebound. He also got called for a pair of PF’s. He fouled Bradley early in the 2nd, and Bradley hit 2 at the FT line to make it a 4-point C’s lead. Collins scored at the rim with an assist from Josh to make it 31-34 with 6:43 to play in the half. He then fouled Pierce and exited the game with 4:22 on the clock and the Hawks up 38-34. 

JC reentered the game with just over 2 minutes remaining and the Hawks ahead 42-37. He took a long jumper late in the shot clock and missed, then came out of the game with 52 seconds left and the Hawks up 44-41.  

Jason would play just 4-and-a-half minutes in the 3rd (+6), as he could not stay out of foul trouble. In fact, that was the only statistical mark he left on the 3rd quarter: a pair of PF’s. The foul problems weren’t just keeping Collins off the court. They were also helping Boston stay in the game. Collins fouled Bass early in the 2nd half and Bass went 2 for 2 at the line to make it 49-43 Atlanta. Just over a minute later Collins fouled KG, and Garnett got 1 of 2 at the line to cut the Hawks lead to 51-46. Collins exited with 7:32 on the clock and Atlanta ahead 55-46. 

Things got even sillier for Collins in the 4th (-3), when he lasted just 2 minutes. He came on with 10:22 remaining and the Hawks up 66-63. In the period he picked up 2 more fouls and a turnover in just 2 minutes. He fouled KG yet again with 9 minutes left. Then he was called for an offensive foul on Pietrus, turning it over with the score tied and 8:25 still to play. With that, Collins was done, having committed 6 fouls in less than 16 minutes since the start of the 2nd quarter.

Collins figured to play significant minutes in game 3, as Josh Smith joined Zaza and Horford on the sidelines. But Collins played just 19:50, scoring 4 points (2 of 4 from the floor) with 3 rebounds and 2 fouls drawn. He turned it over 4 times, committed 4 more PF’s, and had a +/- number of -2 for the game. 

Collins played about 4:21 in the opening quarter (-1) and managed to score 4 points (2 of 4 shooting) with 2 rebounds. However, he had a pair of TOV and 2 PF. For the second time in the series Jason scored back-to-back Atlanta buckets. He hit a short jumper to put the Hawks up 4-2 about 2 minutes in. Then on the next ATL possession he scored from inside on a dish from JT to make it 6-4. 

He stayed involved offensively after that but didn’t have success. After his shot from inside was blocked by KG, JC got the rebound and went back up but missed at the 8:14 mark. 15 seconds later he got his pass stolen by KG and he fouled Rajon Rondo, who hit a pair FT’s to put Boston in front by a point. 10 seconds later Collins picked up an offensive foul on KG, giving it back to Boston. He exited with 7:49 left in the quarter and the Hawks now down 9-10.   

Collins was basically a non-factor in the 2nd, playing just 2:46 (+1). He entered the game with 10:50 on the clock and the Hawks ahead 19-17. His only mark in the score sheet during the period was yet another PF, this one on Ryan Hollins. Collins exited with 8:04 remaining in the half and the Hawks up 23-20. 

Collins played nearly 5 minutes in the 3rd (-4) but was unable to do much, picking up another PF and drawing 1 foul. The Hawks started the 2nd half down 38-40. Collins picked up another offensive foul, again to KG, turning it over to the C’s with the Hawks down 38-42 and 9:38 remaining in the 3rd. He drew a foul on Pierce with 7:47 on the clock and the Hawks still down 4. Collins exited with just over 7 minutes left in the 3rd and the Hawks down 42-48. 

Jason didn’t reenter the game until fairly late in the 4th. He wound up playing about 4 minutes in the final period (+6), and was on the floor as the Hawks made a late run to force OT. He had 1 rebound and 1 foul drawn in the period. Actually, it was during the 4th quarter of game 3 that Collins made his best play of the series. 

JC finally got back on the floor with 4:12 left and the Hawks trailing 72-78. The Hawks still trailed by 3 with just over 1-and-a-half to go when Collins drew a huge offensive foul on Pierce, giving the Hawks the ball with a chance to tie. They would do just that, as Joe nailed a 3 to tie it 80-80. It was a super play by Collins, guarding Pierce outside the 3-point line, and somehow getting him to blatantly push him. That was Collins’ smarts coming up huge in a big spot. 

The score would remain tied 80-80 into overtime. JC stayed on the floor to start the extra session and played 4 minutes in the OT (-4), but his only statistical mark was a TOV. His pass was stolen by Rondo with 3-and-a-half to play and the Hawks down 2. 

Collins exited with a minute left and the Hawks down 84-86. He came back in with 33.7 left but then exited again for good with 28.1 seconds left and the Hawks now down 84-88. At this point Larry Drew was going offense-defense, but nothing worked.   

Despite Horford being activated for game 4 and Josh returning, Collins started his 4th consecutive game. With the game turning into a rout early on, you might have expected Collins to get plenty of playing time in this one, but he ended up playing just over 12 minutes in the game. He wasn’t any good, grabbing 1 rebound, committing 3 TOV and a PF, and posting a +/- number of -17. 

Collins started and played the first 6:40 of the 1st quarter (-8). He grabbed his only board of the game in the quarter. He got his pass stolen by Rondo, leading to a break and a score by Rondo that made it 9-17 with under 7 to play in the 1st. Collins exited with 5:20 on the clock and the Hawks down 11-19. 

Collins played a disastrous 2:40 shift in the 2nd quarter (-9), and looking back it’s no big surprise that this would be his final meaningful appearance in the series. His only mark on the period was an offensive foul on Bass that turned it back over to Boston with 6:45 to play in the half and the Hawks down 27-46. When Collins entered in the 2nd the score was 26-39 with 8:24 to go in the 2nd. When he exited with 5:45 on the clock the score was 29-51. 

Collins would play the final 2:46 of the 3rd quarter (even +/-) but by then the game was way over. He had his pass stolen by KG with 25.9 on the clock. Other than that he did nothing of note. The quarter came to a close with the Hawks down 63-90. Collins sat out the entire 4th quarter. 

With Al back and apparently capable of playing big minutes, Collins found himself out of the starting lineup for game 5. Actually, Collins was basically done for the series. He played just 10 seconds in game 5, coming in to play the last 10.1 of the 1st half and picking up a -3 +/- number for his troubles. That was his only action of the game. Collins did not play at all in game 6. 


Moving Forward: Collins is a 7-footer with bulk and smarts so he’ll stay in the game with somebody, but I doubt it will be with Atlanta. It’s possible he could return again for a minimum salary, as the Hawks aren’t particularly deep in the front court. Also, his role as Dwight Howard’s nemesis is legit. But my hope is that the Hawks will move on from Collins unless he’s a 12th or 13th man. 


Stat Glossary


Total Stats
Games Played (GP)
Games Started (GS)
Minutes Played (MIN)
Field Goal Percentage (FG%)
Three Point Field Goal Percentage (3PT%)
Free Throw Percentage (FT%)
Field Goals Made (FGM)
Field Goal Attempts (FGA)
Three Pointers Made (3PM)
Three Point Attempts (3PA)
Free Throws Made (FTM)
Free Throw Attempts (FTA)
Two Pointers Made (2PM)
Two Point Attempts (2PA)
Two Point Field Goal Percentage (2P%)
Offensive Rebounds (OR)
Defensive Rebounds (DR)
Total Rebounds (REB)
Assists (AST)
Steals (STL)
Blocks (BLK)
Turnovers (TOV)
Personal Fouls (PF)
Points (PTS)
Flagrant Fouls (Flagrants)
Technical Fouls (Techs)
Ejections (Ejections)
Foul Outs (DQ’s)
Double-Doubles (DD)
Triple-Doubles (TD)


Per Game Stats
Minutes Per Game (MPG)
Field Goals Made Per Game (FGM/G)
Field Goal Attempts Per Game (FGA/G)
Three Pointers Made Per Game (3PM/G)
Three Point Attempts Per Game (3PA/G)
Free Throws Made Per Game (FTM/G)
Free Throw Attempts Per Game (FTA/G)
Two Pointers Made Per Game (2PM/G)
Two Point Attempts Per Game (2PA/G)
Offensive Rebounds Per Game (OR/G)
Defensive Rebounds Per Game (DR/G)
Total Rebounds Per Game (R/G)
Assists Per Game (A/G)
Steals Per Game (S/G)
Blocks Per Game (B/G)
Turnovers Per Game (TOV/G)
Points Per Game (P/G)
Personal Fouls Per Game (PF/G)


Per 48 Minute Stats
Points Per 48 Minutes (P/48)
Rebounds Per 48 Minutes (R/48)
Assists Per 48 Minutes (A/48)
Steals Per 48 Minutes (S/48)
Blocks Per 48 Minutes (B/48)
Personal Fouls Per 48 Minutes (PF/48)
Turnovers Per 48 Minutes (TOV/48)


Ratio Stats
Assist-to-Turnover Ratio (ATO)
Steal-to-Turnover Ratio (STO)
Steal-to-Personal Foul Ratio (SPF)
Block-to-Personal Foul Ratio (BPF)
Points Scored Per Shot Attempt (PPS)



Percentage Stats
Offensive Rebound Percentage (OR%) (% of available OR player grabbed while on floor)
Defensive Rebound Percentage (DR%) (% of available DR player grabbed while on floor)
Total Rebound Percentage (R%) (% of available REB player grabbed while on floor)
Assist Percentage (A%) (% of teammate FG’s player assisted on while on floor)
Steal Percentage (S%) (% of opp’s possessions ended with steal by player while on floor)
Block Percentage (B%) (% of opp’s 2-pt FGA’s block by player while on floor)
Turnover Percentage (TOV%) (Turnovers per 100 possessions)


Hollinger Stats
True Shooting Percentage (TS%) (Takes into account value of 2-pt, 3-pt, and FT)
Assist Ratio (ARAT) (% of possessions ended with Assist by player)
Turnover Ratio (TOVRAT) (% of possessions ended with TOV by player)
Usage Rate (USG%) (% of team plays used by player while on floor)
Player Efficiency Rating (PER) (Player’s per minute statistical rating)
Value Added (VA) (# of pts player adds to team above replacement level)
Estimated Wins Added (EWA) (# of wins player adds above replacement level)


NBA Reference.com Stats
Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG) (Adjusts for 3-pt being worth more than 2-pt)
Offensive Rating (ORAT) (Points produced by player per 100 possessions)
Defensive Rating (DRAT) (Points allowed by player per 100 possessions)
Offensive Win Shares (OWS) (# of wins contributed by player due to offense)
Defensive Win Shares (DWS) (# of wins contributed by player due to defense)
Win Shares (WS) (# of wins contributed by player)
Win Shares Per 48 Minutes (WS/48) (# of wins contributed by player per 48 minutes)


82games.com Stats
Minutes Percentage (MIN%) (% of team minutes player was on floor)
Net Plus/Minus (+/-) (Net pts for team while player on floor)
Offensive Points Per Possession (OFF-PPP) (Team Off PPP while player on floor)
Defensive Points Per Possession (DEF-PPP) (Team Def PPP while player on floor)
Net Plus/Minus Per 48 Minutes (+/- Per 48) (Team net pts per 48 of PT for player)
On Court W-L Record (+/- W-L-T) (# of gms team outscored/didn’t outscore opponent while player was on floor)
Win Percentage (WIN%) (W-L-T in win pct form)
Net Production vs. Opponent (PRO/OPP) (How player fared vs. counterpart)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Per 48 Minutes (ON/OFF 48) (Team +/- while player on/off court per 48 minutes)
Simple Rating (SIMRAT) (Taken from combo PRO/OPP and ON/OFF 48)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Offensive Points per 100 Possessions (ON/OFF OPHP) (Team’s offensive points per 100 possessions while player on/off court)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Defensive Points per 100 Possessions (ON/OFF DPHP) (Team’s defensive points per 100 possessions while player on/off court)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Points per 100 Possessions (ON/OFF NPHP) (Team’s offensive points per 100 possessions vs. team’s defensive points per 100 possessions while player on/off court)
Clutch Situations (CLUTCH) (4th quarter or overtime, less than 5 minutes left, neither team ahead by more than 5 points)


If you’re confused about a stat or abbreviation you can check this glossary. Many of the abbreviations are ones I came up with just for shorthand. If you want further explanation/info on the stats, check out the sites listed within the glossary.





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