Tuesday, July 17, 2012

The Hawks Blog: Grading the 2011-2012 Season (Zaza Pachulia)


*Team/NBA Leaderboard ranks are qualified players only.
*The Floor Time section includes both qualified and unqualified players in rankings.
*Remember to check the Glossary at the end of this entry for stat/abbreviation explanations. 


C Zaza Pachulia (7th season with Hawks/9th season overall)
Age: 27 (turned 28 in February)
Draft History: 42nd pick in 2003 by Orlando
Acquired: Signed as free agent August 2005
2012 Salary: $4.75 Million
2013 Contract Status: $5.25 Million
2012 Regular Season Grade: B-


Grade Explanation: Filled in adequately at center after the loss of Horford. Had his best season in years while earning a reasonable salary. Was consistent and available all year until a foot injury caused him to miss the final 7 games. Was out-played by opposing centers. Floor time metrics suggest he often hurt the team, but he was still much better than other players who would have hurt the team much more. Brought intensity and toughness to team that cannot be measured in stats. 

Overall: I’ll be honest: I love Zaza. For me, it all goes back to that first round series with Boston in 2007-2008. Nothing Easy. It’s obvious that many Hawks fans share my feelings for Pachulia. His effort is always rewarded with applause, and that (sadly) is not always the case in Atlanta. 

This season Pachulia was forced into a starting role when big Al Horford went down in the 11th game of the year. While often overmatched, Zaza did the best he could and filled in admirably, until a foot injury ended his season with 7 games remaining. 

Zaza played in 58 of 66 games, making 66 starts, and averaging 28.3 MPG. He shot .499 from the floor, .741 at the line, and did not attempt a 3-pointer. Zaza averaged 7.8 P/G, 7.9 R/G, 1.4 A/G, 0.9 S/G, and 0.5 B/G with 1.4 TOV/G. 

Zaza is what he is. His best assets are energy, intensity, and toughness. He attacks the boards on both ends of the floor, he draws fouls, he sets screens, and he does the dirty work. Pachulia is 6-11, but he really doesn’t seem to play that big, perhaps because he’s not especially long. He doesn’t block shots but he’s a solid defender and a strong rebounder. He struggles against some centers and fouls a lot (sometimes out of necessity), but he doesn’t back down from any challenge. 

Offensively it’s all below the rim for Pachulia. He’s not a good finisher and he has poor hands. We saw this come into play in unfortunately obvious ways in some big moments during the middle of the season (drawing an inordinate amount of vitriol from a number of Hawks fans). He will shoot short and midrange jumpers, but he’s actually not very good at it. Zaza plays to contact, and hopes to get the call, making him susceptible to getting his shot blocked. Pachulia also commits a lot of offensive fouls. 

His strength on offense is on the boards. He has an excellent nose for the ball and is adept at getting position against taller, bigger, and longer opponents. He makes his points on put backs and at the line. 

This season 37% of Zaza’s FGA were jumpers, and he had just a .400 EFG on those shots. The other 63% of his FGA came from inside (obviously) and he had a .553 EFG on those shots. He had a .559 EFG on “close shots” (that is, inside shots which aren’t dunks or tips), which accounted for 51% of his FGA. 

Interestingly, Zaza had just a .778 EFG on dunks (5%), which isn’t very good when you think about it (by comparison, Josh Smith had a .981 EFG on dunks). He had just a .417 EFG on tips (7%). Despite these unimpressive numbers, Zaza actually had his best ever FG% this season. 

44% of Zaza’s FGA came in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock (lots of tips will push that number up) and he had a .527 EFG on those shots. Just 18% of his FGA came with less than 5 seconds on the shot clock (.367 EFG). As mentioned earlier, for Zaza it is often “get fouled or get blocked.” He was fouled on 17.5% of his FGA, but also had 13% of his FGA blocked. 

Zaza can actually run the floor pretty well, he just can’t finish, and his bad hands are a problem. He’s not that bad of a passer but he recorded just 79 total assists this year against 81 total turnovers. Of Zaza’s 81 TOV, 34 were “ball handling” mistakes, while 21 were “bad passes.” He was called for 20 offensive fouls, most of these coming by way of illegal screens rather than charges. 6 of his TOV were classified as “other.” 

Pachulia played in 50% of the team’s total minutes this season, the 4th highest total on the team. He played almost exclusively at center (spent a handful of seconds at the 4 spot). Overall Zaza was out-produced by opposing centers while on the floor this season. 

Zaza did a more than adequate job filling in for Horford and completed one of the best seasons of his career. And yet in terms of points per 100 possessions, the Hawks were better both offensively and defensively when Zaza was off the floor as opposed to when he was on it. 

Zaza played in 53% of Atlanta’s CLUTCH minutes, and as mentioned earlier, he was not always at his best in these high pressure moments. He made 7 of 12 FGA in CLUTCH for a .583 FG% (up from .497 overall) and went 9 for 12 at the FT line for a .750 FT% (up from .741), but his P/48 number was just 11.2 (down from 13.3). He had 2 assists and 2 turnovers during CLUTCH situations. Incidentally, Zaza was 0 for 2 on jumpers and 0 for 1 on tips during CLUTCH.


Statistics: Zaza Pachulia started for the Hawks in his first two seasons in Atlanta, while the team was still attempting to climb back to respectability. When Al Horford’s career began, Zaza became a backup, and the Hawks made the playoffs 4 straight years. This year Horford’s injury pressed Pachulia back into the starting lineup. Thus, 2011-2012 was Zaza’s biggest season in years from a per game perspective. What is somewhat surprising is that despite playing starters minutes, this was actually Zaza’s most productive season in many years as well. 

Pachulia started 44 games; 37 more than the previous season and his most starts since 2006-2007. His MPG increased by 12.6 from the year before and was his most since 06-07. 

With this in mind, it was natural that Pachulia’s per game stats would increase. He saw increases from the previous season in P/G (+3.4), R/G (+3.7), A/G (+0.7), S/G (+0.5), and B/G (+0.2). His P/G, A/G, S/G, and B/G were his best since 2006-2007, and his R/G was his highest number since 2005-2006.  He put up 11 DD; 7 more than the previous season and his highest total since 2006-2007. Zaza’s TOV/G increased by 0.5 from the year before which wasn’t too bad. 

But it wasn’t just that Zaza was playing more minutes and therefore having bigger per game numbers. That was certainly part of it, but he also seemed to play better in this bigger role. His ATO improved by 0.14 from the previous season. He raised his FG% .038 from the previous season and posted the best number of his career in that area. He also established a career high in DR/G (5.2). He did see his FT% dip by .013. 

Zaza’s advanced metrics were also up. He raised his PER by 1.62 from the year before to 14.04, his best mark since 2008-2009. While his TS% fell by 0.5 from the year before to 55.7, he raised his EFG by .038 to .499. He increased his WS/48 by .029 from the year before to .147, setting a new career high. 

In terms of per 48 minute production, it was a mixed bag for Zaza. His P/48 fell by 0.2 from the year before and was the worst mark of his career. His A/48 rose slightly from the year before, while his B/48 declined slightly. His S/48 increased by 0.3, while his R/48 number was up 0.6 from the season before and was the 2nd best mark of his career. In addition, his TOV/48 dropped 0.3 from the year before and was the best of his career. 


Floor Time Stats/Team Rankings (Unqualified)
MIN%: 50% (4th)         
+/- Per 48: +2.4 (T-9th)
ON/OFF 48: -2.0 (T-10th)
+/- W-L-T: 28-28-2
WIN%: 50.0 (T-11th)
ON/OFF OPHP: -1.6 (8th)
ON/OFF DPHP: +1.4 (10th)
ON/OFF NPHP: -3.0 (13th)


Team Leaderboard: Zaza led the Hawks in OR (154), OR/G (2.7), R/48 (13.4), OR% (11.1), and R% (16.4). 

He was 2nd on the team in DR (303), REB (457), DR/G (5.2), R/G (7.9), 2P% (.499), B/48 (0.85), TOV/48 (2.4), DD (11), DR% (21.5), ORAT (111), and WS/48 (.147).

He was tied for 2nd on the team in DEF-PPP (1.03). 

He was 3rd on the team in STL (55), BLK (29), S/G (0.9), B/G (0.5), TOV/G (1.4), S/48 (1.61), B% (1.4), DRAT (99), and DWS (2.8)

On the negative side, Zaza was tied for 1st on the team in PF (172) and Flagrants (1). 

He was tied for 3rd on the team in Techs (2). 


NBA Leaderboard: Here are Zaza’s NBA Leaderboard appearances.
OR/G (21st)
R% (21st)
DRAT (23rd)
OR% (25th)
OR (T-26th)
R/G (27th)
R/48 (27th)
DR% (28th)
DR/G (30th)
REB (31st)
DWS (32nd)
DR (41st)
DD (T-45th)
WS48 (49th)
2P% (52nd)


Here are Zaza’s appearances on the NBA Leaderboard in negative stats.


Flagrants (T-16th)
PF (T-25th)


Season Review: Zaza played in 58 of 66 games for the Hawks in 2011-2012, making 44 starts, and averaging 28.3 MPG. Zaza played in each of the team’s first 47 games, and in 58 of the first 59 before missing the final 7 games of the season. He came off the bench in the first 11 games, and in 14 of the first 16, but then started in each of his final 42 games played. 

Pachulia came off the bench in each of the Hawks first 11 games. With Al Horford going down in game 11 (January 11th), Zaza started the next 2 (January 12th and14th), but then went back to coming off the bench in 3 straight after that (January 16th through 20th).  

Larry Drew had said that he preferred to start Jason Collins and then have Zaza come off the bench. Soon, however, he was forced to turn to Pachulia as a full-time starter. Zaza started the next 31 games from January 21st through March 21st

On March 23rd, Zaza missed his first game of the year due to an Achilles (calf) strain. He came back and started the next 11 games before hurting his left foot 11 minutes into the game in Orlando on April 13th

Originally X-rays were negative, and Zaza was diagnosed with a sprained left foot. However, Zaza missed the final 7 games of the year and was never able to come back in the postseason. Eventually the Hawks admitted he was dealing with a bone chip in his foot. 

Pachulia’s minutes increased significantly after January due to all of the injuries. Production wise, Zaza was basically consistent throughout the year. 



2012 Postseason Grade: F

Grade Explanation: This is harsh but it’s reality. He was unavailable due to injury after being the team’s starting center for most of the season. He was also one of the few players on the team making a non-minimum salary. More than anything else, his toughness and tenacity down low was missed against Boston. 

Statistics: NA (Did not play at all in the playoffs)

Postseason Review: The Hawks kept open the possibility of Zaza being ready for the playoffs until the last moment. It was a situation similar to Horford’s, with conflicting reports coming out about every facet of the injury (what the injury was; how serious it was; how his recovery was coming along; how close he was to returning; etc.). Eventually they said he wouldn’t be ready for the start of the series. Then they pushed the time table back again, saying he wouldn’t be ready until late in the series. Finally they said he wouldn’t be able to play in the 1st round at all and might never make it back regardless of how far the Hawks advanced. 

People outside of Atlanta did not seem to make much of the loss of Zaza, and they probably would mock any suggestion that Pachulia’s absence had a major impact on the series. Many Hawks fans would disagree. It may have been a misjudgment on my part, but I felt leading up to the series that if Zaza played we had a better chance of beating the Celtics than ever before. If he didn’t play, I thought we would lose a competitive series. Seeing how tough the Celtics were in the series and how far they eventually got in the playoffs, it may seem silly to claim that he could have made that much of a difference, but I still maintain he would have changed things. 

Obviously, without Pachulia the Hawks were down another big man, which was key. Jason Collins was forced into a starting role and the roles of Ivan Johnson and Erick Dampier grew larger, and none of that was ideal. Zaza would also have been the perfect answer to the unsung Boston players who do the dirty work: Hollins and Stiemsma. Pachulia’s toughness in general was sorely missed. Pachulia has always been able to match KG’s nastiness and get under his skin in a way that few others have. There’s no doubt in my mind that Zaza would have changed the series. 

Think how much different things might have been in the final minutes of game 2 if Pachulia had been available? Think about game 3 when Smith and Horford were out; you don’t think Zaza could have helped? I’m not saying that the Hawks would have won the series, but I do think it goes 7. And then there’s this: if Pachulia and Horford had been able to make it back for the entire series, and if Josh had stayed healthy, the Hawks would have won. In fact, I think they’d have won in less than 7 games. 


Moving Forward: Zaza is one of Atlanta’s only bench players under contract for next year. He hasn’t been mentioned in any deals, and one would have to assume he’ll move back into his role as backup center next season. I think he’ll do fine in that situation, and hopefully he can stay healthy. Injuries haven’t been much of a problem for Pachulia in his career, but anytime a big man starts having problems with his feet you have to be a little nervous. 


Stat Glossary 


Total Stats
Games Played (GP)
Games Started (GS)
Minutes Played (MIN)
Field Goal Percentage (FG%)
Three Point Field Goal Percentage (3PT%)
Free Throw Percentage (FT%)
Field Goals Made (FGM)
Field Goal Attempts (FGA)
Three Pointers Made (3PM)
Three Point Attempts (3PA)
Free Throws Made (FTM)
Free Throw Attempts (FTA)
Two Pointers Made (2PM)
Two Point Attempts (2PA)
Two Point Field Goal Percentage (2P%)
Offensive Rebounds (OR)
Defensive Rebounds (DR)
Total Rebounds (REB)
Assists (AST)
Steals (STL)
Blocks (BLK)
Turnovers (TOV)
Personal Fouls (PF)
Points (PTS)
Flagrant Fouls (Flagrants)
Technical Fouls (Techs)
Ejections (Ejections)
Foul Outs (DQ’s)
Double-Doubles (DD)
Triple-Doubles (TD)


Per Game Stats
Minutes Per Game (MPG)
Field Goals Made Per Game (FGM/G)
Field Goal Attempts Per Game (FGA/G)
Three Pointers Made Per Game (3PM/G)
Three Point Attempts Per Game (3PA/G)
Free Throws Made Per Game (FTM/G)
Free Throw Attempts Per Game (FTA/G)
Two Pointers Made Per Game (2PM/G)
Two Point Attempts Per Game (2PA/G)
Offensive Rebounds Per Game (OR/G)
Defensive Rebounds Per Game (DR/G)
Total Rebounds Per Game (R/G)
Assists Per Game (A/G)
Steals Per Game (S/G)
Blocks Per Game (B/G)
Turnovers Per Game (TOV/G)
Points Per Game (P/G)
Personal Fouls Per Game (PF/G)


Per 48 Minute Stats
Points Per 48 Minutes (P/48)
Rebounds Per 48 Minutes (R/48)
Assists Per 48 Minutes (A/48)
Steals Per 48 Minutes (S/48)
Blocks Per 48 Minutes (B/48)
Personal Fouls Per 48 Minutes (PF/48)
Turnovers Per 48 Minutes (TOV/48)


Ratio Stats
Assist-to-Turnover Ratio (ATO)
Steal-to-Turnover Ratio (STO)
Steal-to-Personal Foul Ratio (SPF)
Block-to-Personal Foul Ratio (BPF)
Points Scored Per Shot Attempt (PPS)



Percentage Stats
Offensive Rebound Percentage (OR%) (% of available OR player grabbed while on floor)
Defensive Rebound Percentage (DR%) (% of available DR player grabbed while on floor)
Total Rebound Percentage (R%) (% of available REB player grabbed while on floor)
Assist Percentage (A%) (% of teammate FG’s player assisted on while on floor)
Steal Percentage (S%) (% of opp’s possessions ended with steal by player while on floor)
Block Percentage (B%) (% of opp’s 2-pt FGA’s block by player while on floor)
Turnover Percentage (TOV%) (Turnovers per 100 possessions)


Hollinger Stats
True Shooting Percentage (TS%) (Takes into account value of 2-pt, 3-pt, and FT)
Assist Ratio (ARAT) (% of possessions ended with Assist by player)
Turnover Ratio (TOVRAT) (% of possessions ended with TOV by player)
Usage Rate (USG%) (% of team plays used by player while on floor)
Player Efficiency Rating (PER) (Player’s per minute statistical rating)
Value Added (VA) (# of pts player adds to team above replacement level)
Estimated Wins Added (EWA) (# of wins player adds above replacement level)


NBA Reference.com Stats
Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG) (Adjusts for 3-pt being worth more than 2-pt)
Offensive Rating (ORAT) (Points produced by player per 100 possessions)
Defensive Rating (DRAT) (Points allowed by player per 100 possessions)
Offensive Win Shares (OWS) (# of wins contributed by player due to offense)
Defensive Win Shares (DWS) (# of wins contributed by player due to defense)
Win Shares (WS) (# of wins contributed by player)
Win Shares Per 48 Minutes (WS/48) (# of wins contributed by player per 48 minutes)


82games.com Stats
Minutes Percentage (MIN%) (% of team minutes player was on floor)
Net Plus/Minus (+/-) (Net pts for team while player on floor)
Offensive Points Per Possession (OFF-PPP) (Team Off PPP while player on floor)
Defensive Points Per Possession (DEF-PPP) (Team Def PPP while player on floor)
Net Plus/Minus Per 48 Minutes (+/- Per 48) (Team net pts per 48 of PT for player)
On Court W-L Record (+/- W-L-T) (# of gms team outscored/didn’t outscore opponent while player was on floor)
Win Percentage (WIN%) (W-L-T in win pct form)
Net Production vs. Opponent (PRO/OPP) (How player fared vs. counterpart)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Per 48 Minutes (ON/OFF 48) (Team +/- while player on/off court per 48 minutes)
Simple Rating (SIMRAT) (Taken from combo PRO/OPP and ON/OFF 48)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Offensive Points per 100 Possessions (ON/OFF OPHP) (Team’s offensive points per 100 possessions while player on/off court)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Defensive Points per 100 Possessions (ON/OFF DPHP) (Team’s defensive points per 100 possessions while player on/off court)
Net On Court vs. Off Court Points per 100 Possessions (ON/OFF NPHP) (Team’s offensive points per 100 possessions vs. team’s defensive points per 100 possessions while player on/off court)
Clutch Situations (CLUTCH) (4th quarter or overtime, less than 5 minutes left, neither team ahead by more than 5 points)


If you’re confused about a stat or abbreviation you can check this glossary. Many of the abbreviations are ones I came up with just for shorthand. If you want further explanation/info on the stats, check out the sites listed within the glossary.





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