Last Week’s Record
Biggest 20 Games (Straight Up: 19-1; Vs. Spread: 12-7-1)
Overall (Straight Up: 43-14; Vs. Spread: 34-19-1; Moneyline Upsets: 1-0)
Season Record
Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 92-48; Vs. Spread: 63-74-3)
Overall (Straight Up: 484-173; Vs. Spread: 329-313-8; Moneyline Upsets: 23-18)
Week 13 Review: Well, there was a little mental tradeoff taking place in my brain once the Dawgs finished off Tech early on Saturday. Sure, the rest of that day’s games were dull, non-competitive, routs by the favorites. But as long as I kept winning, it didn’t bother me too much if things went according to plan in a way we haven’t seen too often in CFB.
Week 14 Preview: There are just 22 games this week and of course none of them are against FCS teams. This year’s Championship Week feels a bit odd. I guess this is because the BCS national championship game matchup seems to be set regardless of what happens. And most of the games are expected (judging by the spreads at least) to be blowouts. This has been an interesting year but I think the downside of the total chaos in week 13 was that these last 2 weeks lost some excitement/meaning. One thing we know for sure. There will be nothing at all like general satisfaction when the national championship matchup is announced, regardless of what happens this weekend and who eventually gets in.
As for me, I’ve made some preverbal hay over the last couple of weeks and I’m a little nervous about the regression to the mean factor. One thing to note (and maybe this speaks to what I was saying about a lack of juice this week) is that we will be back to biggest 10 games this week. In the past I have sometimes had to go with more than 10 big games during Championship Week, but this year 10 is actually exactly the number it should be.
Thursday
Game 1: West Virginia (-1.5) @ South Florida
Pick: West Virginia covers
Friday
Game 2: Ohio (+3.5) vs. Northern Illinois (Detroit)
Pick: Ohio beats the spread
Game 3: UCLA (+31.5) @ Oregon
Pick: Oregon covers
Saturday
Game 4: Southern Mississippi (+12.5) @ Houston
Pick: Houston covers
Game 5: Connecticut (+9) @ Cincinnati
Pick: Connecticut beats the spread
Game 6: Texas (+2.5) @ Baylor
Pick: Baylor covers
Game 7: LSU (-14) vs. Georgia (Atlanta)
Pick: LSU covers
Game 8: Virginia Tech (-7) vs. Clemson (Charlotte)
Pick: Clemson beats the spread
Game 9: Oklahoma (+3.5) @ Oklahoma State
Pick: Oklahoma State covers
Game 10: Michigan State (+9) vs. Wisconsin (Indianapolis)
Pick: Michigan State beats the spread
Other Games
Saturday
Syracuse (+10.5) @ Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh covers)
Iowa State (+10.5) @ Kansas State (Kansas State covers)
Wyoming (-5.5) @ Colorado State (Wyoming covers)
UNLV (+38.5) @ TCU (TCU covers)
Utah State (-13.5) @ New Mexico State (Utah State covers)
Louisiana-Monroe (-7) @ Florida Atlantic (ULM covers)
Middle Tennessee State (+5.5) @ North Texas (NT covers)
Idaho (+20) @ Nevada (Idaho beats the spread)
Troy (+17) @ Arkansas State (Ark State covers)
New Mexico (+48.5) @ Boise State (Boise State covers)
BYU (-7.5) @ Hawaii (BYU covers)
Fresno State (+8) @ San Diego State (San Diego State covers)
No comments:
Post a Comment