The College Football Blog: 2012 Week 6 Betting Lines

Last Week’s Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 9-1; Vs. Spread: 4-6)

Overall (Straight Up: 42-9; Vs. Spread: 22-29; Moneyline Upsets: 4-1)

Season Record

Biggest 10 Games (Straight Up: 32-18; Vs. Spread: 20-30)

Overall (Straight Up: 177-56; Vs. Spread: 115-118; Moneyline Upsets: 8-8)

Week 5 Review: Another disappointing week for me, as I was well under .500 in the most important area. I knew I’d fall back towards .500 eventually but I’m annoyed that it only took a few weeks for my entire cushion in overall ATS to be wiped out. It was also another losing week picking ATS in the biggest 10 games. I’m now in some danger of falling into a hole too deep to climb out of in that category.

I knew the numbers were going to be bad. There are certain teams that I almost always pick to cover regardless of the spread and there are certain teams that I always pick against regardless of the spread. Last week was not a good week for that strategy. To be honest, I was a bit relieved that my results ATS weren’t a lot worse last week. 

It wasn’t all bad. I had an excellent week picking winners in the biggest 10 games. And I had my best week picking upset winners in perhaps a few seasons. I got back to .500 for the year on moneyline upsets and I don’t think I’ve had a non-losing record in that category this late into a season in a while.

Week 6 Preview: Big matchups are not a guarantee that it will be a great week of college football. However, this will certainly be a “big” week in college football, and by “big” I mean impactful.

There are 3 huge games between undefeated teams and national championship contenders. The 2 best teams in the Big Ten also square off and there are a number of rivalry games thrown in this week. 

3 highly ranked undefeated teams will lose this week no matter what, and there could easily be a few more joining them. It’s going to be interesting. 

As for me, I’m pretty desperate for a solid week ATS.

. 

Saturday

Game 1: Navy (+9.5) @ Air Force  

Pick: Air Force covers

Game 2: Kansas (+24) @ Kansas State  

Pick: Kansas State covers

Game 3: LSU (-2.5) @ Florida 

Pick: LSU covers

Game 4: Oklahoma (-5.5) @ Texas Tech

Pick: Oklahoma covers

Game 5: West Virginia (+7) @ Texas

Pick: West Virginia beats the spread

Game 6: Georgia (+2) @ South Carolina

Pick: Georgia pulls off the upset

Game 7: Miami (+12.5) @ Notre Dame

Pick: Notre Dame covers

Game 8: Nebraska (+3) @ Ohio State

Pick: Ohio State covers

Game 9: UCLA (-3) @ California

Pick: UCLA covers

Game 10: Washington (+24) @ Oregon  

Pick: Oregon covers

Other Games

Thursday

Arkansas State (PK) @ Florida International (Ark State covers)

East Carolina (+13.5) @ Central Florida (ECU beats the spread)

USC (-13.5) @ Utah (USC covers)

Friday

Pittsburgh (-2.5) @ Syracuse (Cuse pulls off the upset)

Utah State (+7.5) @ BYU (Utah State covers)

Saturday

Arkansas (+9.5) @ Auburn (Auburn covers)

Michigan State (-15.5) @ Indiana (Mich State covers)

Connecticut (+7.5) @ Rutgers (Rutgers covers)

Buffalo (+14) @ Ohio (Buffalo beats the spread)

Northwestern (+3) @ Penn State (NW pulls off the upset)

South Florida (-4) @ Temple (Temple beats the spread)

Boston College (-10.5) @ Army (BC covers)

Boise State (-11) @ Southern Mississippi (Boise State covers)

Mississippi State (-10) @ Kentucky (Miss State covers)

Virginia Tech (+4.5) @ North Carolina (VT beats the spread)

Kent State (-3) @ Eastern Michigan (Kent State covers)

Bowling Green (-4.5) @ Akron (BG covers)

Massachusetts (+16.5) @ Western Michigan (WM covers)

Central Michigan (+10) @ Toledo (Toledo covers)

Virginia (+2) @ Duke (Duke covers)

Northern Illinois (-2.5) @ Ball State (BSU pulls off the upset)

Arizona (+9) @ Stanford (Arizona beats the spread)

Wake Forest (+5.5) @ Maryland (WF beats the spread)

Tulsa (-3) @ Marshall (Tulsa covers)

Georgia Tech (+10.5) @ Clemson (Clemson covers)

Illinois (+14.5) @ Wisconsin (Wisconsin covers)

Iowa State (+11.5) @ TCU (TCU covers)

Louisiana-Monroe (-3) @ Middle Tennessee State (ULM covers)

Michigan (-3) @ Purdue (Michigan covers)

New Mexico State (+10.5) @ Idaho (Idaho covers)

Tulane (+27) @ Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL covers)

Washington State (+15.5) @ Oregon State (Oregon State covers)

Texas State (+3.5) @ New Mexico (Texas St beats the spread)

Rice (-7.5) @ Memphis (Memphis beats the spread)

North Texas (+12) @ Houston (Houston covers)

Vanderbilt (+6.5) @ Missouri (Mizzu covers)

Texas A&M (-11) @ Mississippi (A&M covers)

Fresno State (-16) @ Colorado State (Fresno St covers)

Miami (Ohio) (+20.5) @ Cincinnati (Cinci covers)

UNLV (+24.5) @ Louisiana Tech (LT covers)

Wyoming (-16.5) @ Nevada (Nevada covers)

SMU (+2.5) @ UTEP (UTEP covers)

Hawaii (+22.5) @ San Jose State (SJS covers)

Florida State (-15) @ North Carolina State (FSU covers)